🔥PERP Approaching Key Resistance! Bullish Momentum Breakthrough at 0.26? Urgent Layout Strategy + Stop-Loss Warning!
Technical Analysis
Price Status
• Bollinger Bands: Current price 0.2536 is close to the upper band (0.2595), Bollinger Band position at 70.65%, indicating short-term overbought pressure; breaking the upper band will open up upward space.
• MA200/Holding Cost: Current price is above MA200 (0.2325, deviation 9.07%) and holding cost (0.2348, deviation 8.02%), mid-term trend remains bullish, but caution is needed for pullback risks.
Market Strength
• Trading Volume: 24-hour volume has shrunk (volume ratio 0.75), price slightly down 0.59%, reduced volume adjustment suggests limited selling pressure.
• Fund Flow: 1-hour contract net inflow of 58.9k USDT (+1.28%), smart money long-short ratio rises to 1.48, main force buying on dips.
• Order Book: Near-term buy orders dominate (difference of 2266 USDT), but total sell orders in the medium to long range reach 109.8k USDT (＞buy orders 77.1k), strong resistance at 0.2595.
Key Levels
• Support: 0.2494 (90000 PERP buy order dense area), 0.2400 (psychological level + MA200 support).
• Resistance: 0.2595 (Bollinger Band upper band), 0.2800 (historical transaction dense area).
Market Cycle
Mid-term Bull Market Consolidation Phase: 7-day increase of 14.8%, open interest down 19.9% but price stabilizing, after adjustment may continue to rise.
Trading Strategy
Bullish Strategy (1-3 days)
• Entry: 0.2520 (layout at support level)
• Stop-Loss: 0.2480 (falls below near-term buy order dense area)
• Target: 0.2600 (breakthrough Bollinger Band upper band)
• Risk-Reward Ratio: 2.0 (calculated strictly according to rules)
Risk Warning
1. If volume breaks below 0.2480, it may trigger bullish liquidation, target down to 0.2400.
2. Heavy selling pressure in the medium to long range (total 109.8k USDT), breakthrough requires volume support.
3. Position ≤2%, avoid low liquidity periods (UTC midnight).
> Strategy Invalid Conditions: CPI data exceeds expectations/competitor ($GMX) sudden negative news.
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