News Nuclear Explosion - A series of bearish bombs are about to explode
SEC Targets ETH ETF: The US SEC has postponed BlackRock's ETF decision to August, blocking institutional capital entry, and market expectations have been completely dashed;
Whale Sell-off Warning: On-chain monitoring shows a certain German government-related address (holding 47,000 ETH) is gradually transferring assets, likely to crash the market tonight;
Macroeconomic Strangulation: US June CPI exceeded expectations, approaching 3.5%, the Fed's rate cut probability in September plummeted to 40%, while liquidity in the crypto market is being drained!
Iron Eagle Sharp Comment: The news triple noose has trapped ETH's neck; any rebound is a window for escape!
Technical Death Cross - The 2550 defense line must be broken tonight
Water Divide Lost: The 2604 in the chart has turned from support to strong resistance (78.6% retracement level 2584 becomes tonight's ceiling);
Liquidity Vacuum Zone: Orders below 2530 are as thin as paper (note that there are almost no buy orders in the 2530-2511 range in the chart), once breached, it will plummet to 2490;
Devil's Details: Latest transaction price 2553.63 is closely aligned with the sell wall (in the chart, 2553.61-2553.54 has over 400+ ETH sell orders stacked), the main force is currently luring in buyers to strangle!
Iron Eagle Highlights: *The commission ratio in the chart +0.08% is a deadly trap! Buying pressure is so weak that a single order from the main force can break through 2550!*
Tonight's Trend Simulation - Two scenarios for a bloodbath at 2500
Nuclear Explosion Scenario (Probability 70%):
21:00-00:00 False rebound to 2570 to lure in buyers → Early morning, main forces use CPI panic to smash through 2553 → 2520 stop loss orders triggered → Directly drops to the 2500 life-and-death line;
Gradual Kill Scenario (Probability 30%):
2550 repeatedly oscillates, consuming bullish ammunition → Asian institutions apply selling pressure in the morning → Gradually declines to 2485 (strong support level in the chart)
Iron Eagle Combat Order: *Any rebound at the current price is a shorting opportunity! Stop loss set at 2585, target levels 2520/2490 for gradual profit taking!*
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