$BTC Now let's consider the current situation with Bitcoin (BTC). Let's also take a look at the latest news.
📈 Current position
Coin Edition and CoinRank analyses for July 2025 show that the monthly support zone from $104k to $106k remains strong, and considering the noticeable bullish momentum, there is a possibility of growth.
IOMAP data shows active accumulation of institutional investors/whales in the $100k to $103k zone, which may indicate a potential bounce without correction.
Blockchain data shows that in the morning hours of July 4, there were changes in whale wallets and their holdings, which slightly reduced activity, and also signal the need for caution.
Additionally, according to the decentralized prediction market Polymarket, 60% of participants believe that the price could reach $115k in July, indicating bullish sentiment among people.
🔮 Possible event within the month
Technical analysis indicates a 'clean breakout' > $110k, which could lead to a rise to $114k–$125k.
In fact, Anthony Scaramucci predicts that by 2025 Bitcoin may rise to $200k, maintaining a bullish long-term view, but this is a long-term perspective, so less movement is expected in the short term.
🚦 Risk factors
Whale distribution on the blockchain signals the need for caution, recommendations may arise, and a short-term correction is possible.
The macroeconomic environment (interest rates, long-term inflation, US policy) and shifts in investments will impact your situation.
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Well, what awaits us in the current conditions?
Scenario Response Growth Support
Bullish trend Support ($104k–$106k) if not broken may rise to $110k–$125k breakout trendlines & EMA bullish
Summary Repeated whale activations observed level up to $100k–$103k for a weaker correction
🎯 Next month, some sentiments remain bullish, and in the event of a full recovery, the price may reach $110k. However, short-term and medium-term volatility must be considered.
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In response to your question ('Will BTC rise or not?')
From a technical support perspective, it should be noted that even if you see momentum, there is a risk that the price may not rise.
In the near future, depending on your risk tolerance and time frames (short-term/medium-term/long-term), frequently check market updates.
Recommendation: consolidate your portfolio, consider BTC as a diversification tool, and use stop-losses / profit-taking within reasonable limits.
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📌Warning: we are not investment advisors, situations may change, please conduct your own research and make decisions independently.
What are your time frames and goals? If you need additional support, let me know.