#日内交易策略
1. Large pancake, estimated range 108500-110500, expected to oscillate upwards;
2. Second pancake, estimated range 2540-2620, expected to oscillate upwards;
3. This week, continue to pay attention to the situation in the Middle East and the progress of the trade war.
No important data on Monday
Tuesday 23:00 US June New York Fed 1-year inflation expectations
Wednesday the suspension period for US reciprocal tariffs ends
Thursday 01:00 US 10-year Treasury auction results as of July 9 - winning yield
Thursday 02:00 Federal Reserve releases monetary policy meeting minutes
Thursday 20:30 US initial jobless claims for the week
Friday 01:00 US 30-year Treasury auction results as of July 10 - winning yield
【Market Analysis】
① The large and second pancakes rose yesterday after US Treasury Secretary Mnuchin reported progress in tariff negotiations with some countries, and this morning around 5 a.m., Trump stated he would meet with Netanyahu to mediate a ceasefire in Gaza, indicating a potential easing of risk events and eliminating some bearish sentiments;
② Last week, Powell's attitude towards interest rate cuts softened, and Mnuchin's remarks of 'definitely cutting rates in September',
③ With such combined influences, market sentiment became optimistic, leading to an increase.
④ Given that the 'Great and Beautiful Act' was signed by Trump over the weekend, the US debt ceiling issue is resolved, the long-term Treasury auctions on Thursday and Friday should have little impact.
⑤ Overall, unless there is an unexpected event, the market trend this week is expected to be relatively calm.
⑥ It is anticipated that today's market will oscillate upwards, but after reaching a peak, it will pull back.
🌹🌹🌹【Strategy】
Trade at the edges of the range: short on highs and long on lows, always stay safe ❤️