Bitcoin (BTC)
What is the price forecast for Bitcoin in 2025? The second quarter of the year saw several significant events, including interest rate cuts, geopolitical tensions, and tariff impositions. However, despite entering the third quarter of 2025 with strong momentum, the dominance of the top currency seems to have faded recently. According to CoinMarketCap, 75% of the top 100 coins have outperformed Bitcoin in the last 90 days. With that in mind, smart money traders are already asking what’s next for BTC's price.
Bitcoin reached its all-time high of $111,924 in May 2025, but momentum slowed amid geopolitical tensions and cautious investor sentiment.
Institutional demand remains strong, with companies like Metaplanet and MicroStrategy continuing to accumulate large amounts of BTC.
Analysts expect a year-end target for 2025 ranging from $120,000 to $140,000, depending on sustained institutional interest and a stable macroenvironment.
Price movement in the near term is expected to remain between $106,800 and $112,000, unless a strong bullish catalyst emerges.
Bitcoin price action: January to June 2025.
Bitcoin started the year on a high note, surpassing the $90,000 mark as the anticipated inauguration of President Trump filled the market with optimism. Over the month, buyers dominated as strong bullish spikes pushed BTC's price near the upper Bollinger Band.
As February began, the top currency built momentum on its journey northward, nearing $110,000. As in the previous month, buying pressure remained strong, supported by favorable technical tools and high investor interest.
BTCUSDT chart by TradingView.
Unfortunately, a bearish storm swept over financial markets in March, leading to a wave of panic in the market and asset liquidations. During the market collapse, triggered by regional trade wars, BTC broke below the $100,000 level with weak momentum. Sellers surged strongly at this level, pushing the currency below the 200-day simple moving average.
Bearish pressure eased in April, as Bitcoin consolidated between $90,000 and $10, remaining around the mid to lower range. As market conditions improved, sentiment also shifted from bearish to neutral.
In the following month, Bitcoin regained strength and pushed resistance levels to a new all-time high of $11,924 on May 22, 2025. Increased adoption, along with an influx of institutional and smart money into Bitcoin, helped fuel this surge.
Market trends and institutional demand shape Bitcoin's outlook for 2025.
Since Bitcoin's price reached an all-time high in May, it has experienced a window of calm, primarily due to the escalating situation involving Israel, Iran, and the United States, with some liquidation of positions.
Despite these sell-offs, large buyers and institutional firms continue to heavily rely on Bitcoin. Metaplanet and MicroStrategy were among the most active corporate BTC holders, with the former being ranked as the largest corporate Bitcoin treasury. Meanwhile, three American companies announced plans to invest a total of $800 million in Bitcoin.
Even with the current market trend, this accumulation supports the belief that Bitcoin will continue to chart upward paths. In light of these moves, crypto experts expect the asset to rise significantly in 2025. However, these lofty expectations hinge on broader adoption and sustained institutional interest.
However, some market commentators have expressed concerns about the Bitcoin accumulation strategy adopted by corporate firms, which involves leveraging debt. They explain that these companies could risk liquidation if Bitcoin reaches the bottom.
Bitcoin price forecast.
At the time of writing this report, Bitcoin is trading around the $109,700 mark, after a modest rise during the day. With stagnant momentum factors, the currency is expected to trade within a range between $110,500 and $111,000 unless a new catalyst enters the market.
Approaching Bitcoin price predictions from a technical lens, it seems that the bulls have the upper hand. If the market climate remains free of bearish catalysts, the asset is likely to test levels of $112,000 and $106,800 soon.
The Bull-Bear Power Index also reinforces BTC's slight bullish edge, but not without resistance. After Bitcoin's all-time high in May, buying momentum slowed. However, Bitcoin's price movement remains above key moving averages, indicating that bullish sentiment is still in play.
While the recent liquidation and decline in open interest show bears trying to regain control, it has not pushed the price below key support levels.
Take a look at the market before jumping in with TradingView.
This link uses an affiliate program.
Analysts expect Bitcoin to target a price range of $120,000 to $140,000 by the end of 2025 if institutional demand continues to grow through ETFs, inflows, and treasury allocations. CoinCodex's prediction model aligns with this market projection. According to the data, Bitcoin is expected to trade between $105,670 and $179,681, with an annual average of $127,169.
However, for the predictions to hold, three main assumptions have been established:
A stable macroeconomic environment.
Favorable market atmosphere and regulatory clarity.
Absence of major shocks to the cryptocurrency markets that could lead to massive sell-offs.
Moreover, Bitcoin requires a strong bullish trigger, such as a macroeconomic event or the announcement of economic data.
Currently, the Federal Reserve's decision to maintain interest rates following the recent FOMC meeting had a largely neutral impact on Bitcoin. While a rate cut was expected to push Bitcoin's price up, analysts largely anticipated the current decision.
While the market waits for a major catalyst to emerge, Bitcoin is expected to remain at its current level. However, current forecasts cautiously tilt toward optimism as traders watch for signs of calls.
#MuskAmericaParty #HODLTradingStrategy #SaylorBTCPurchase #SpotVSFuturesStrategy #OneBigBeautifulBill