【Altcoin Dominance and Altcoin Season Recognition Guide】

I. Core Definitions

Altcoin Dominance = The market share of all cryptocurrencies excluding BTC, used to assess the trend of funds flowing from BTC to altcoins.

II. Historical Key Nodes

2017 ICO: BTC dominance fell from 85% to 38%;

2020-2021 DeFi: BTC dominance fell from 70% to 40%;

From 2024 to present: Institutional funds have pushed up BTC dominance, while meme coins briefly boosted altcoins.

III. Four Stages of Altcoin Season

1. BTC Leads → 2. Mainstream Altcoins Follow → 3. Major Altcoins Explode → 4. Full Frenzy Period

IV. Key Signals

Confirmation: BTC dominance drops below 60%-70%, BTC consolidates, altcoin market cap / trading volume rises;

Interference: Growth in stablecoin market cap may artificially inflate altcoin dominance (due to safe-haven effects).

V. Strategy Tools

Monitoring: BTC dominance, stablecoin market cap, OTHERS.D

Allocation

Safe-Haven Signal: BTC.D and stablecoin dominance rise simultaneously;

Risk Signal: BTC.D and stablecoin dominance fall simultaneously. $BTC $ETH $SOL #马斯克计划成立美国党 #长期持有策略 #大而美法案