Patiently Waiting for Bitcoin's Final Dance

Time has swiftly moved to the second half of 2025. After Bitcoin surged to $100,000 at the beginning of the year, its price has remained relatively high, showing almost no breakthroughs. Half a year has passed, and it is still consolidating in place.

In contrast, the performance of the U.S. stock market has been much more impressive, with the Nasdaq reaching new highs and the Dow Jones approaching its previous highs. The driving force behind this is evident: policies are in action, especially the Trump team's control over market rhythm has been very effective, continuously releasing positive news through public opinion and policies, maintaining a good overall market atmosphere. However, it is clear that Trump does not intend to stop here and may continue to push the market upward for a while.

Against this backdrop, Bitcoin is likely to experience a 'peak' market as the concluding phase of this cycle.

My personal strategy is to participate but with a focus on stability. In terms of target setting, the conservative expectation is $130,000, the usual judgment is $150,000, and if market sentiment is amplified again, the aggressive target could reach $170,000.

Although the upper space is not particularly large, in the current context of 'asset scarcity,' even a volatility range of 30% to 70% is still quite attractive for funds.