#BTCWhaleMovement
⚠️ **Trade Management Adjustments:**
| Item | Adjustment | Justification |
|--------|----------|---------|
| **Stop Loss** | **481.50** (instead of 483.5) | Reduce risk after breaking 481.1 |
| **Take Profit** | **Target 1: 478.0** (priority) <br> **Target 2: 475.0** | Exploit bearish breakout |
| **Critical Monitoring** | If the price rises above **480.83** (entry price) | Immediate closure to avoid worsening losses |
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### **Updated Scenarios with 75% Success Rate:**
1. **Continuation of decline (75% probability)**:
- Activate take profit at **478.0** (first target).
- Support from: **Negative funding** + **High selling volume** (10.26M USDT).
2. **Limited rebound (25% probability)**:
- If the price rises above **481.50** (new stop loss), close the sale to avoid leverage losses (50x).
- Rebound triggers: Oversold on RSI + Slight negative funding.
---
### **Critical Points for Immediate Monitoring:**
1. **Next funding rate** (at 20:04 displayed time):
- If funding becomes positive (+) → Warning signal (prefer to reduce position size).
2. **OBV and MACD update**:
- If MACD turns positive or OBV rises → Increased buying pressure (calls for exit).
3. **Liquidity at 478.0**:
- The specified demand at **480.81–480.82** (5.15K–4.44K USDT) may slow the decline.
---
### **Summary:**
- **Maintain current sell** with stop loss adjusted to **481.50** and take profit at **478.0**.
- **Trade success rate 75%** provided the price does not exceed 484.
