Bitcoin’s cycle has passed 400 days, placing it deeper than 2013 but still under 2017 and 2021 post-halving durations.
Based on prior halving trends, Bitcoin may reach its cycle top 520 to 550 days after April 2024—pointing to Q4 2025.
Past cycle peaks featured euphoric surges, heavy trading volumes, and vertical price action—indicators traders are closely watching this year.
Bitcoin’s ongoing market cycle may be entering its final phase, with new data pointing to a possible peak between September and November 2025.
Historical Halving Timelines Offer Insight
A tweet from CrypFlow provides a comparative view of Bitcoin’s previous halving cycles, mapping their durations to the eventual market tops. The analysis notes that in 2013, Bitcoin peaked roughly 365 days after the halving. In 2017 and 2021, that number extended to 520 and 550 days, respectively.
According to CrypFlow, the current cycle—following the April 2024 halving—is already around 400 days in. This exceeds the 2013 pattern but remains under the timeframes recorded in the two most recent cycles. If the current bull run mimics 2017’s pace, a top may form in September. A repeat of 2021’s cycle would see a peak around October, while a blend of both could extend the rally to November.
The window is tightening, suggesting Bitcoin could soon approach the euphoric top phase that has marked past peaks.
Final Rally Phase May Be Approaching
CrypFlow’s chart also outlines the price movement during previous expansion phases, with purple boxes representing cycle tops. These zones tend to appear during the final vertical surge in price action, often accompanied by accelerated volume and intense market sentiment.
Each past cycle has seen increased duration and scale. With the current cycle surpassing 2013’s length, a continued rally could follow that established trend. As liquidity and interest build into Q3 and Q4, the chance of a parabolic price move rises, consistent with previous peak behavior.
Market participants are advised to remain attentive to indicators such as sudden volume spikes and market-wide enthusiasm—elements historically tied to cycle tops.
Traders Monitor September to November Window
CrypFlow emphasizes the time frame between September and November as the most probable window for a cycle peak. The analysis does not speculate on price but focuses strictly on time-based structure drawn from historical precedent.
Bitcoin’s post-halving expansion has aligned with a pattern where the final stages occur within 520 to 550 days. Should the current cycle follow suit, traders could be nearing a pivotal stage in the broader trend.
With the countdown underway, the next few months may prove critical.
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