Last night, ETH's five-minute candlestick revealed a textbook 'trap to lure shorts'! Under the heavy pressure of three negative economic data from the U.S. (unemployment rate at 4.1% exceeding expectations, non-farm payrolls at 147,000 being strong, initial jobless claims at 233,000 being lower than expected), Trump suddenly declared at 21:37 that 'the data is far better than expected.' The market first plummeted 20-30 points to create panic, then violently surged above 2585—this wave of 'false breakdown with real accumulation' exposes the main force's three major intentions:
[News: Why has the negative turned into 'fuel'?]
The Truth Game of Data:
Although the unemployment rate at 4.1% is lower than the expected 4.3% (positive for the dollar), Trump deliberately downplays the core negative of 'non-farm employment at 147,000 far exceeding the expected 110,000', shifting the market focus.
Main Force Reverse Operation Logic: Using data panic to wash positions, then leveraging Trump's remarks to rally the market, achieving a dual kill of long and short.
Policy Implication:
Trump's urgent 'promotion of the economy' is actually to rally support for the November elections. The expectation of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts remains unchanged (unemployment rate still above the pre-pandemic level of 3.5%), which is still favorable for risk assets in the medium to long term.
[Technical Analysis: The Five-Minute Candlestick Hides Secrets]
Key Position Offensive and Defensive Battle:
The 2580-2584 area is the lifeline of long and short: Last night's lowest drop to 2584.3 quickly rebounded, exactly at the daily level dense buying area (see 50.png transaction cluster).
Violent Surge in Volume Anomaly: Continuous large orders consuming shares at 2584.51-2584.54 (see 'Latest Transactions' in 50.png), clear signs of main force accumulating positions.
Two major scenarios for the future market:
Bull Fortress: Stabilizing above 2585 would lead to an attack on 2600 (4-hour MA30 pressure), and the target after the breakout is 2620 (weekly neck line).
Shorts Counterattack: If it falls below 2580, be wary of the 2550 support (the low point of the June consolidation platform).
[Retail Investor Survival Guide]
Short Line: Gradually take long positions in the 2580-2585 range, stop loss at 2575, target 2600.
Medium Line: Increase positions after breaking through 2600 with volume, target 2620→2650.
Beware of Black Swans: If the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes this week signal a 'delay in interest rate cuts', decisive profit taking is necessary.
Convergence Insight: The main force has exposed its ambitions with 'false drops'—the more contradictory the economic data, the more violent the ETH fluctuations. Remember: there is gold hidden in smoke bombs; keep a close eye on the 2580 main force cost line and follow the institutions to profit!
Still holding on alone? Pay attention to the convergence core team's injection! It only activates the infinite potential of ambitious madmen!