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🎯 1. Target and context
Current price: ≈ $109,738 USD, daily range $108,092 – $110,387.
Market conditions: BTC close to historical levels, marked by high institutionalization, ETFs with record inflows (~$50,000M total).
Technicals: mixed signals — moderate RSI (~56), recent MACD crossover, potential bullish flag.
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📈 2. Technical analysis
Key supports:
$106,800–108,000 (20 EMA ~$106,200, 50 EMA ~$104,100)
Second level: $104,000–106,000
Important resistances:
$110,500–112,000 (ATH)
Chart patterns: bullish flag; possible breakout towards $114,500–115,000.
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📊 3. Entry strategy
1. Stepwise buying at support:
First level: $108,500–108,800
Second level: $106,800–107,500
Gradually buy with 50% at level 1 and 50% at level 2.
2. Trend confirmation:
If it breaks and holds above $110,500 with volume + daily close, consider adding an additional 25% to the position.
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🛑 4. Risk management
Initial stop-loss: just below support ($106,500).
In case of false breaks, exit and reevaluate at $104,000–106,000.
Do not risk more than 1–2% of capital per trade.
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💰 5. Exit targets
TP1: $114,500 (resistance zone and fibo)
TP2: $115,000–117,000 (possible bullish extension)
TP3 (optional/aggressive): $120,000–125,000, if there is strong momentum
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🧠 6. Macro considerations and news
Macro risk: U.S. labor report (NFP) — possible volatility in the coming days.
On-chain data: negative funding rates are a sign of spot rebound.
Institutional flows: continue to enter via ETFs, with supply on exchanges at a 7-year low.
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🪙 7. Position management
Trailing stop after TP1: move stop-loss to entry level or above.
Partial profit taking:
50% in TP1
25% in TP2
Remaining in TP3 or hold if there is strong momentum.
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📅 8. Follow-up calendar
Review daily support/resistance levels.
Adjust stops with daily closes.
Be aware of the NFP and economic headlines.
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✅ 9. Checklist before each trade
Step Action
1 Confirm price at support ($108K or $106–107K)
2 Execute partial buy
3 Set stop at defined level
4 Daily technical follow-up
5 Take profits when targets are reached
6 Adjust stop to breakeven after TP1
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🔚 10. Summary
Scale entries at $108,500–107,000
SL at $106,500
TP at $114,500, 117,000 and 120–125,000
Active management with trailing stops and macro review.
#Spot #trading #BTC #StrategyBTCPurchase $BTC
