📰 Latest News & Price Drivers $BTC
Bullish institutional forecasts
Standard Chartered projects Bitcoin will reach $135K by the end of Q3 2025, and potentially $200K by year-end, citing ETF inflows and corporate treasury demand counteracting halving-cycle weakness .
Pantera Capital also expects a post-halving peak in the $135K–$150K range for July.
ETF and macroeconomic momentum
Spot Bitcoin ETFs have attracted around $4.5 billion in July, building strong support between $100K–$103K
A Cointelegraph forecast suggests BTC may copy the S&P 500’s typically green July trend, with maximum downside capped at ~10%
Short‑term market sentiment
Decrypt reports that a prediction market (Myriad) currently assigns a 69% probability that BTC will not close above $108K by July 4, showing technical resistance near that level
Technical analysis indicates Bitcoin has reclaimed key EMAs (20/50/100), with a bullish structure intact if it holds support above $104K–$106K
Regulation & policy tailwinds
U.S. crypto bills (stablecoins, SEC–CFTC boundary clarity) and moves like establishing a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve are building institutional confidence
Commentary from Mudrex’s CEO and others urges long-term strategic investing amid regulatory clarity and ETF adoption
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📈 Price Outlook: Hot July or Long‑Term Run?
Timeframe Scenario Highlights
Short term (July) Resistance around $108K may stall upside—prediction markets lean bearish for the week
Medium term (Q3‑Q4) Institutional inflows, ETF investments, and strategic corporate buying could boost BTC to $135K–$200K
Long term (2028) Standard Chartered projects highs as high as $500K by 2028
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Key Factors to Watch
1. ETF inflows — continuing strong weekly net gains support price stability and rally potential.
2. Macro & Fed policy — rate cuts and easing could fuel BTC, while tightening may trigger corrections.
3. Regulatory actions — progress on stablecoin legislation and digital-asset frameworks will influence investor sentiment.