💡【Crypto Strategy Essentials｜5 Practical Insights from Loss to Stability, a Must-Read for Beginners!】
As a contract trader in the crypto space for 3 years, after stepping into countless pitfalls, I finally summarized a set of 'anti-human' strategies. Today, I will break down the underlying logic, purely practical with no tricks, highly recommended to save and review 👇
🔍 Key points: Contracts are not a gambler's game, but a game of probability and discipline.
⚠️ Risk Warning: Contract leverage magnifies gains and losses, 90% of new traders' losses come from blind trading; be sure to use idle funds!
1. Position Management: Never go all in; staying alive is more important than making quick money.
- My iron rule: No single position should exceed 5% of the capital, and total position should not exceed 30% (for example, with a capital of 10,000, the maximum for a single position is 500U).
- Example: Before last year's ETH crash, I shorted with a 20% position. Even if there were pullbacks, I still had room to add to my position, ultimately profiting from the waterfall.
- ✅ Logic: The heavier the position, the more emotions are swayed by the market; small positions allow you to remain rational amidst volatility.
2. Trend is King: Use 'Moving Averages + MACD' to filter out invalid signals.
- Moving Average Combination: I often use EMA55 + EMA200 to judge the big trend (if the 55 MA crosses above the 200 MA, it's bullish; otherwise, it's bearish).
- MACD Assistance: After a golden cross/dead cross appears, wait for the price to break the moving average before entering, to avoid 'false signals' (proven to increase win rate by 40%).
- ❌ Avoid Pitfalls: Don’t trust 'short-term surge signals'; indicators in small cycles (within 15 minutes) can be easily manipulated by major players; at least look at the 4-hour chart.
3. Stop Loss and Take Profit: Set 'escape lines' in advance, refuse greed and fear.
- My settings: Set stop loss at 1.5%-3% of the opening price (for volatile coins like SOL set at 3%, BTC at 1.5%); take profit at a risk-reward ratio of 1:2 (for example, if stop loss is 500U, set take profit at least 1000U).
- Tools: Use the exchange's 'conditional orders' for automatic triggering to avoid hesitation during manual operations (I lost 60% of my capital overnight once due to not setting a stop loss...).
4. Hedging Mindset: Opening both long and short positions is not omnipotent, but can withstand extreme market conditions.
- Applicable scenarios: Before major events (like Federal Reserve interest rate hikes or project unlocks), use 1:1 long and short positions to hedge against volatility and lock in some profits.
- Example: In March this year, when USDC depegged, I opened both long and short positions for BTC. Although I lost a bit on fees from both sides, I avoided a crash and liquidation.
5. Emotion Management: Absolutely do not trade in these 3 situations.
- 🚫 When staying up late (the brain is not clear, easy to chase highs and cut losses).
- 🚫 After consecutive profits (confidence gets inflated, risks are ignored).
- 🚫 When you want to recover losses (revenge trading is the culprit of liquidation)
- Alternative solution: When emotions are running high, watch (Reminiscences of a Stock Operator), or practice on a demo account to regain your rhythm before trading live.
📌 Final thoughts:
The essence of contracts is 'to use small risks for large probability gains', not to gamble on price movements. I've seen too many people make money by luck, only to lose it back by skill. The truly stable players make money in the market using discipline and strategy.
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