Altcoins are currently at their weakest outperformance levels against Bitcoin since early 2019, reaching the historical 8%–10% reversal zone.
Every past occurrence of this 90-day metric bottom triggered sharp altcoin rallies, with performance often rising above 60% shortly after.
$TOTAL2 is retesting key support, and if held, it may trigger capital rotation from Bitcoin into altcoins across the broader crypto market.
Altcoins are underperforming Bitcoin at levels not seen in over four years, but a bullish reversal may be forming. Historical data points to previous patterns where similar conditions triggered altcoin rallies.
Altcoin Outperformance Metric Hits Multi-Year Low
A recent chart from CryptoBoss reveals that altcoins, excluding stablecoins, are underperforming Bitcoin over a rolling 90-day period. The metric has now reached the 8–10% zone, historically tied to the beginning of previous altseasons. This level was last observed during major altcoin runs in 2019, 2021, 2022, and 2023.
Each time this indicator hit such a low, altcoins experienced a sharp uptick in performance relative to Bitcoin. The green arrows on the chart highlight multiple rallies where outperformance jumped to over 60%. This pattern signals a familiar market cycle where altcoins catch up once Bitcoin consolidates.
The current reading for 2025 sits at the same historic low, suggesting that altcoins could soon regain momentum. Based on this cyclical setup, the broader altcoin market may be nearing the start of a new growth phase.
Market Sentiment Points to a Reversal Opportunity
CryptoBoss notes this is the weakest altcoin outperformance in over four years, yet considers it a potential reversal point. In a tweet, they stated, “Data’s screaming we’re closer to a massive altcoin bullish reversal than we’ve been in 4.5 years.”
Supporting this sentiment, UfoCalls added, “$TOTAL2 is testing the support of this range. If we can hold this level, our #alts can start running.” The $TOTAL2 chart, which tracks the total crypto market cap excluding Bitcoin, has approached a technical support zone.
If that support level holds, traders expect increased activity across altcoin markets. Past market conditions show that strength often returns to altcoins shortly after Bitcoin dominance stabilizes or reverses.
Technical Patterns Repeat Across Market Cycles
The chart presented reflects a repeated technical structure where altcoin performance bottoms before recovering strongly. Each black circle marks a historical low in altcoin strength, followed by a green arrow showing recovery periods.
These events are closely tied to Bitcoin's dominance trend. When Bitcoin’s dominance plateaus or declines, capital tends to flow into altcoins. This rotation often sparks market-wide rallies among lower-cap assets.
This time-tested cycle is forming again in 2025. With altcoins now resting near their historical performance floor, technical patterns suggest that a market-wide altcoin rebound could be on the horizon.
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