Precise Technical Analysis: Between bullish breakout vs bearish break – all possibilities are exposed!
⚔️ Geopolitical context
Mutual escalation between Iran and Israel has reached military and cyber operations, amid limited strikes and then calming initiatives.
The impact of tension was noticeable on oil prices, while limited concerns seemed supported by moderate market reactions.
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📉 Recent BTC performance
Bitcoin saw fluctuations between $98,200 (low) and $111,000 (high) during the crisis.
Despite dropping close to 98k, it quickly recovered above 105k and then near 108k in the first sign of calm trends.
Losses triggered by initial selling are limited (~‑4%) and corrected within a few days.
📊 Quick Technical Analysis
Critical support: $100,000, supported by the 200-day moving average (~$95,500).
Current resistance: $107,000–$108,000 within a downward channel formed after the recent correction.
Decisive technical indicators: strong buy theories across different time frames with Buy signals from RSI and MACD.
🔮 Potential scenarios: the scenario, signal indicator, and vision
⚡ Bullish recovery
Clear breakout >108k–109k, supported by ETF + calm tensions + strong rise towards 116k, may call for a repeat of ATH >120k.
🌪️ Temporary correction
Continuous break <100k with rising tensions or shocking economic data Drop to 92–98k to test long-term average support.
⚖️ Sideways fluctuation
Stability between 100k–108k until external clarity (politics, economy) Fluctuating movements while waiting for a new spark.
🧨 Summary is clearer
Bitcoin today is between a rock and a hard place: between historical resistance at ~108k and strong psychological support at 100k.
Temporary geopolitical calm opens the door for technical rise, supported by technical evidence and institutional liquidity flow.
Any new spark (aggressive/economic) could bring Bitcoin back to a rapid corrective path or launch a fiery leap towards new historical levels.
🛡️ Smart advice: Watch closely:
Complete breakout of resistance levels above 108k.
Broke support at 100k, which may open up a sudden correction wave.
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