When does altcoin season begin? 🤔
This question concerns many, but what are the prerequisites for the start of altcoin season?
📊 Why has the altcoin season not started yet?
✅ Altcoin Season Index
• Currently, the Altcoin Season Index is around ~22, indicating a Bitcoin Season status, where most altcoins are lagging behind BTC  .
• The index has stayed below 25 for more than half a year (since early 2025), and even the recent brief spike did not cross the 40 mark, confirming the continuation of BTC dominance .
🔎 Reasons for the delay in alt-season
• BTC dominance is at ~64%, making it difficult for capital to move into altcoins ().
• Institutional investments are still focused on Bitcoin and Ethereum, but cautious about lower-cap altcoins .
🔮 What to expect next?
• Some analysts predict that alt-season may start late in 2025 or early in 2026, when BTC consolidates and dominance begins to decline ().
• According to technical analysis, the drop in BTC dominance in May and the potential breakout of ALTCAP have indicated a possible shift in the second half of 2025 .