Whale Activity in XRP is Increasing: Is It a Sign of New Peaks?

Although XRP has followed a horizontal trend in recent months, on-chain data indicates a remarkable turnaround, especially regarding whale movements. In May, XRP's 90-day whale flow average turned positive, reaching record levels in large investor wallets. These developments suggest that new price peaks may come in the fourth quarter of 2025.

Whales Are Back in the Game

XRP, which saw an all-time high of $3.40 in January 2025, has followed a relatively calm trend since then. However, on-chain indicators suggest that a new rise may be on the horizon. In particular:

Wallets holding over 1 million XRP reached a record of 2,850.

Wallets holding over 10,000 XRP rose to 306,000, increasing by 6.2% since the beginning of the year.

In May, whale flows turned positive, indicating that the selling pressure seen between January and April is now behind us.

This turnaround indicates that investor confidence has regained strength. Historical data shows that similar whale flows began in August 2024 and paved the way for a 420% increase in XRP price in the fourth quarter. Current flows raise the possibility of a new rally that could exceed these levels.

Wallet Data and Investor Confidence Remain Strong

According to on-chain analyst Dom, despite the price's horizontal movement, the increase in large wallets shows long-term investors' faith in XRP. This accumulation process reflects the future expectations of investors who stay away from short-term speculation.

Data platform Santiment reported that XRP investor sentiment reached its highest level in 17 days. This optimism increased following the deadlock in the ongoing $50 million compensation agreement between Ripple and the SEC. This positive divergence stands out during a period when the market has generally been moving sideways.

Current Status of the Legal Process: Tension Continues in the Ripple–SEC Case

An important development occurred in Ripple's long-standing case with the SEC on June 26. Judge Analisa Torres rejected the SEC's request for a guiding decision. The judge stated that private agreements cannot precede the court’s final decision.

“The parties do not have the authority to agree to not abide by a court decision.”

According to journalist Eleanor Terrett, the Judge noted that both parties must waive their rights to appeal or formally contest the decision by appealing. These statements indicate that the legal process may still be complex and lengthy.

Conclusion: Technical Pressure Decreases While Fundamentals Strengthen

Although XRP's trading volumes fell in the second quarter, on-chain indicators and whale behaviors show that the price has found strong support at the bottom levels. The increase in wallet data, improvement in investor sentiment, and signals that whales are re-entering could herald an upward movement for XRP, especially in the fourth quarter of 2025.

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