As we move past June 2025, we have entered a period of increased activity in the cryptocurrency markets. Although economic and political developments have caused fluctuations in the markets since the beginning of the year, optimism among investors has clearly risen in recent weeks. Particularly, the absence of the expected 'sell and vacation' period this year has reinforced confidence in the markets.

Interest Rate Cuts Have Revived the Crypto Markets

Globally, the possibility of the U.S. Federal Reserve cutting interest rates creates a positive expectation for crypto assets. In recent months, trade wars, tensions in the Middle East, and global geopolitical risks have been at the forefront. The achievement of a trade agreement between the U.S. and China has somewhat eased the markets.

In the upcoming period, new trade agreements between different countries are expected. The digital tax disputes with Canada and some issues within the European Union are also moving towards resolution. These positive developments indicate that July could be a dynamic and upward-focused month for the cryptocurrency markets.

Bitcoin Technical Indicators and Expectations

Bitcoin has recently shown strong stability around $107,000. Although there has been a decrease in trading volume, there has not been a significant drop in prices. Despite some political tensions with Canada, the market atmosphere is generally positive.

Bitcoin is currently trading at the upper boundary of the channel, and some uncertainty signals (dojis) are forming here. It is unclear which levels the price will test in the coming days; a local bottom may have been reached, or the $90,000 to $94,000 range may be tested again. The general expectation is for the price to trend back towards the end of $90,000.

The current movement is being evaluated as a bullish formation. There is a money rotation in the market; while experienced investors are selling, new investors are making purchases at lower prices. Additionally, some liquidations are occurring. In the medium term, Bitcoin is expected to fluctuate between $135,000 and $145,000 in September and October.

Some experts expect Bitcoin to surpass current resistance levels with weekly closes. Particularly, breaking through the $109,307 resistance could signal a new upward momentum. It is also frequently emphasized that technical analyses play an important role in investor decisions.

Increased Activity in Summer Months

The summer season activity in the cryptocurrency markets is closely related to changing global macroeconomic conditions. Both technical signals and political developments continue to determine the course of the markets.

Analysts emphasize that attention should be paid to critical breakout points and that a cautious optimism approach should be maintained. International developments and market balances continue to be decisive in investors' decision-making processes.

In the coming weeks, it is predicted that investors will continue to closely monitor both economic data and technical analysis levels.


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