Developments Affecting Cryptocurrency Markets in the New Week (July 1–5)

As we enter a new week, we see that macroeconomic and political developments that could create high volatility in the cryptocurrency markets are on the agenda. In particular, the approach to critical dates regarding tariff agreements with the entry into July may increase market activity.

Just like every Sunday, we have compiled important data and announcements that investors should keep an eye on this week. On the US side, employment data, speeches from central bank heads, and tariff announcements stand out, while there are developments from Europe and Asia that should be closely monitored.

🗓 Weekly Calendar: Key Developments

Monday, June 30

20:00 – Speech by Fed Member Goolsbee

22:00 – Statements from European Central Bank (ECB) President Lagarde

All Day – Ethereum Community Conference

18:00 – Robinhood Announcement

Tuesday, July 1

ECB Central Bankers Forum (It will last two days)

16:30 – Panel Discussion with Powell, Lagarde, Bailey, and Ueda

17:00 – US JOLTS Job Openings (Expectation: 7.3M | Previous: 7.391M)

Wednesday, July 2

15:15 – US ADP Private Sector Employment Change (Expectation: 80K | Previous: 37K)

Thursday, July 3

US Markets Will Close Early (Before July 4 Holiday)

10:00 – Turkey CPI (Expectation: %35.2 | Previous: %35.41)

14:30 – ECB Meeting Minutes

15:30 –

US Unemployment Rate (Expectation: %4.3 | Previous: %4.2)

Non-Farm Payrolls (Expectation: 110K | Previous: 139K)

Average Hourly Earnings (Expectation: %3.8 | Previous: %3.9)

16:45 – US S&P Services PMI (Expectation: 53.1)

17:00 – US Factory Orders (Expectation: +%8 | Previous: -%3.7)

Friday, July 4

US Markets Closed (Independence Day)

🔍 Critical Points for the Markets

Fed Interest Rate Decision Employment Data is Important:

US employment data to be announced on Thursday, July 3, will be decisive for the July interest rate decision. In particular, weak employment results may strengthen the hand of Fed members expecting an interest rate cut in July.

Statements from Powell and Other Presidents Will Be Followed:

On Tuesday, the statements of Fed Chairman Powell, as well as the ECB, BoE, and BoJ heads, will be closely monitored at the forum. These speeches could be decisive for global monetary policies.

Tariff Agreements and Geopolitical Risks:

Statements from the US Secretary of Commerce and the trade agreements expected to be made with India, South Korea, and Japan in the coming days may support the cryptocurrency markets.

On the other hand, how the European Union will respond to the latest tariff proposal from the US is also critical. If the EU chooses to stand firm, similar to last Friday's example with Canada, Trump's harsh statements could lead to short-term shocks in the market.

📢 Extra Notes and Expectations

Trump will speak on Fox News today at 17:00.

It is expected that he will give important messages regarding tariffs and economic policies in his statements.

July 9 is emerging as a critical date. The tariff agreements expected to be clarified by that day could be decisive for the markets.

🪙 Conclusion: A Volatile Week is Expected for the Cryptocurrency Markets

This week, both macroeconomic data and political developments could cause sharp price movements in the cryptocurrency markets. Expectations of interest rate cuts, trade agreements, and central bank announcements should be closely followed.

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