📈 $BTC (2025-06-29 08:15) | Long-Short Trend Index: 62 / 100 (Consolidation Leaning Strong)

📈 $BTC (2025-06-28 09:45) | Long/Short Trend Index: 52 / 100 (Neutral Fluctuation)

BTC has been blocked above 108,000 for three consecutive days, with short-term momentum weakening and high-level fluctuations narrowing. MACD and RSI are not synchronized across multiple timeframes, with momentum weakening at 15-minute and 1-hour levels, slightly strong at 4-hour, while daily and weekly structures remain stable, lacking clear direction as we await a breakout signal.



🔹 Multi-Timeframe K-Line Trend Assessment:
15-minute chart: Consolidation and fluctuation, price oscillates around 107,000, MACD is stuck near the zero line, RSI is only 43.0, short-term momentum is sluggish;
1-hour chart: Weak rebound after consecutive declines, MACD momentum is weakening, RSI has returned to 46.6, overall still dominated by bearish sentiment;
4-hour chart: Maintaining strong fluctuations within an upward channel, MACD still shows golden cross momentum, RSI 55.1, slightly strong but not breaking key levels;
Daily chart: Bullish structure maintained, MACD death cross is slowing but has not reversed, RSI 54.8, price primarily consolidating;
Weekly chart: Structure remains healthy, MACD maintains a high position golden cross, RSI 62.3, long-term trend remains unbroken, maintaining a strong platform consolidation.

📊 Technical Indicator Analysis:
MACD: 15m/1H momentum weakening, 4H maintains golden cross, daily death cross converging, weekly maintains strength, cyclical divergence intensifying;
RSI: Multi-timeframe RSI fluctuates in the 40–60 range, indicating neutral to weak momentum, lacking breakout signals;
Moving Average System: Price is close to MA7/MA25, MA99 maintains support below, need to pay attention to the direction of breaking 105,800 and 108,000;
Trading Volume: Low-volume consolidation phase, volume is shrinking, main players are clearly in a wait-and-see atmosphere, waiting for event-driven or key technical breakthroughs.

🌐 Macro News Summary (Last 24 Hours):
1. Bloomberg reports that BlackRock's ETH spot ETF application officially entered the SEC review stage on June 25, market expectations have heated up;
2. Several Fed officials' comments remain hawkish, market expectations for interest rate cuts this year continue to decline, and the dollar index stabilizes;
3. BTC on-chain activity has declined for three consecutive days, with short-term speculative funds showing a wait-and-see sentiment;
4. Mt.Gox creditor repayment details updated, part of BTC may be released in early July, raising market concerns about supply shocks.