## Future of Bitcoin until the end of 2025: Between Trump's policies and market volatility
By mid-2025, Bitcoin faces a complex landscape shaped by Trump's policies, the Fed's decisions, and global market fluctuations. Based on the latest analyses, here are the main forecasts:
1. Impact of Trump's policies: Risky government support**
- **Clear Support for Cryptocurrencies**: Since taking office, Trump has pushed for supportive policies, such as creating a 'National Task Force' to regulate the sector and appointing 'Paul Atkins' (a crypto advocate) to head the financial markets authority. This boosted investor confidence and raised the price to near **$111,980** in May 2025.
- **Warnings of Government Intervention**: Trump issued orders preventing the Fed from developing a government digital currency, raising concerns about excessive oversight that could slow sector growth.
- **Bullish Forecast**: If political support continues, Bitcoin could reach **$150,000** by the end of the year, especially with Trump's promises to make the United States a 'global center for crypto'.
### **2. The Federal Reserve: Interest Rates as a Critical Factor**
- **Direct Impact on Liquidity**: The Fed is expected to keep interest rates at **4.25%-4.50%** in the near term, but any future cuts (as pressured by Trump) could increase demand for Bitcoin as an investment alternative.
- **Inflation and Bitcoin as a 'Safe Haven'**: With US inflation reaching **9.1%** in 2024, investors are turning to Bitcoin as a buffer against the erosion of traditional currencies, especially during periods of geopolitical instability.
- **Warning of a Financial Crisis**: Analyst 'Arthur Hayes' expects that any quantitative easing from the Fed will lead Bitcoin to rise towards **$250,000**, although this scenario is still uncertain.
### **3. Market Movements: Between Opportunities and Risks**
- **Short-term Volatility**: Bitcoin saw a decline to **$98,800** in January 2025 following conflicting statements from Trump, but it regained its rise thanks to institutional flows through **ETF** funds (like BlackRock) that injected **$386 million** into the market.
- **Key Pressure Factors**:
- Tensions in the Middle East (such as the Israeli-Iranian war) drive speculation on Bitcoin.
- Competition from artificial intelligence (like the **Chinese DeepSeek application**) could divert investments away from crypto.
- **Price Forecasts for End of 2025**:
- **Pessimists**: **$100,000–$120,000** (in case of tighter regulations or interest rate hikes).
- **Moderates**: **$120,000–$150,000** (based on Trump's support and increased institutional demand).
- **Optimists**: **$200,000+** (if the Fed cuts rates and commercial adoption increases).
### **4. Major Challenges That May Hinder Growth**
- **Government Oversight**: Countries like Egypt and Morocco have banned cryptocurrencies, and the EU is imposing restrictions to protect the euro.
- **Environmental Risks**: Criticism of Bitcoin mining's energy consumption may lead to strict regulation.
- **Competition from Alternative Currencies**: The emergence of central currencies (like the digital euro) could shrink Bitcoin's market share.
### **Conclusion: Bitcoin at a Crossroads**
Bitcoin is heading towards **$120,000–$150,000** by the end of 2025, provided three factors are balanced:
1. Continued support from Trump without imposing stifling regulations.
2. Maintaining a flexible monetary policy from the Fed.
3. Avoid major geopolitical shocks.
> "Bitcoin may be the **digital gold** of this era, but it is also the most volatile arena. Smart investors buy on dips and protect themselves from political storms".
$BTC $BNB $SOL #NODEBinanceTGE #ScalpingStrategy #BTCbelow100k #NEWTBinanceHODLer #In the end, while Robert Kiyosaki (**author of 'Rich Dad'**) sees Bitcoin touching **$350,000**, it is noted that **85% of traders lose money** when using leverage. Therefore, patience and risk management are key to profiting from this financial revolution.#USCorePCEMay
