📈 “Bitcoin’s Next ATH: Technical & Macro Signals to Watch”
(Updated – June 28, 2025)
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🎯 Why it matters TODAY (June 28)
BTC ~ $107.4K, consolidating below the resistance zone of $108K–109K; a breakout could launch toward $110K–112K .
June’s modest ~+2% gain makes it the slowest month of the year—signaling consolidation as spot ETF inflows balance whale profit-taking .
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🔍 Chart Insights (from above image)
A clear setup: BTC bounced from the 200‑day MA and hovers just below the 50‑day MA .
Volume & momentum indicators (like MACD) suggest bulls are regaining control, but must break above $108K–109K decisively .
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🛠️ Technical & On‑Chain Highlights
Support Levels:
**$106K–107K** short-term floor
200‑day MA (~$105K) remains a key long-term anchor
Resistance to Watch:
Immediate ceiling at $108K–109K—breakout needed to regain bullish momentum
Next major hurdle: $110K–112K, which would confirm all-time high pursuit
On‑Chain Accumulation:
Whales hold ~152,280 BTC, the highest since March, signaling institutional confidence
Spot ETFs bring continued inflows; retail consolidation dominates current trading range
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🔮 Price Scenarios
1. Bullish Case:
Price holds above $106K, breaks $109K, and targets $112K–115K, possibly extending to **$120K+**
2. Neutral/Range:
Sideways action between $106K–108K, waiting on macro catalyst or breakout signal
3. Bearish Risk:
Breakdown below $106K–107K could revisit $103K, then potentially $99K–100K support
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🧠 Traders’ Playbook
Strategy Entry Stop‑Loss Targets
Aggressive Buy near $106K Below $105K $109K → $112K
Conservative Wait for close above $109K Break of breakout $112–120K
Risk Control: Limit exposure to ≤ 10% of portfolio
Watch Key Triggers: Fed signals, geopolitical headlines, and volume during breakout
