Quantum-level compression! BOLL channel approaches explosion: Plummeting 25% OR Epic reversal?
1. Market direct hit: Stalemate between bulls and bears, key position in a chokehold!
Current price reported at 107,260, stuck in a narrow range above the BOLL middle track:
1. Two mountains above: 108,272 and 108,895 form a high-pressure zone, and any rebound is suppressed.
2. Support line below: 104,424 is the bearish bottom line; a break could trigger a deep correction.
3. Volume extremely shrinks: Continuous decrease in volume indicates a strong wait-and-see sentiment in the market; be cautious of false breakouts in low-volume conditions!
Indicator game signals:
MACD green bars shorten, but DIF/DEA are deeply trapped below the zero axis—the bearish trend remains unchanged, and any rebound is a weak one!
The BOLL channel narrows, with the middle track at 105,246 becoming the life-and-death line for bulls and bears; losing this level would seek support at the lower track.
2. Today's core variables: Three swords hanging overhead!
1. Continued selling pressure from Grayscale GBTC
2. Mt.Gox 150,000 BTC compensation countdown
3. Tomorrow night’s core PCE data in the U.S.—a barometer for Fed interest rate cuts!
3. Solutions for position recovery:
1. Deeply trapped
Take advantage of a rebound to the 108,000-108,272 range and decisively reduce positions by 1/3-1/2, lowering costs and keeping ammunition.
Avoid holding on for dear life! The MACD underwater has no basis for reversal.
2. Moderately trapped
Swing trading is king: If breaking 105,246 with volume, stop-loss half position; if volume stabilizes above 107,500, lightly add 1/5, and take profit at 108,000.
3. Slightly trapped
104,424 is the lifeline! If it holds, you can increase positions for a rebound; if it breaks with volume, clear positions, and beware of a drop to 102,800!
Breaking 108,272 requires a retest at 107,800 for confirmation, then follow up on the right side.
4. Today's mantra
Attack without volume, run; rapid decline at support, buy; sideways sleep!
108,000+ with no volume? - Run!
104,400 with support? - Lightly test long
105,000-107,500 indecision? - Lie flat!
Key trend change signals
MACD golden cross breaking the zero axis
A large bullish candle breaking through 108,272
Before either occurs, guerrilla warfare mentality prevails!
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