Middle East Changes + Triple Policy Impact! BTC/ETH Key Battlegrounds
Double-edged Sword of Middle East Geopolitics
Ceasefire with Iran releases $5 billion in liquidity, but on June 29, Israel may disrupt US-Iran nuclear talks (historical airstrikes have caused BTC to drop 12%), need to monitor IDF dynamics and Iranian oil exports.
🚀 Triple Policy Explosion Catalyst
Hong Kong Government: Guotai Junan obtains a license to become the first licensed Chinese brokerage, expected to attract $5 billion in Chinese capital, ETH trading depth may increase by 30%
United States: Mortgage loans accept BTC/ETH as collateral, a 1% allocation in the $12 trillion mortgage market could bring in $120 billion in increment
Federal Reserve: Powell indicates banks can serve the crypto industry, with a 75% probability of rate cuts in July
📊 Technical Defense and Offense Key Points
$BTC : Weekly three consecutive gains encounter 109,000 trapped positions, a giant whale sold 8,000 coins in 72 hours
$ETH : 28 million coins staked account for 23% of circulation, futures long-short ratio is 1.35:1, need to guard against short squeezes