📍#ETH Technical Analysis（2025/06/26）

ETH is trading below its 1H EMA9/21 and VWAP, while the 4H remains above the 21 EMA—momentum is split, awaiting a decisive break.

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【Timeframe】1H

Trend: Short-term bearish bias with price under EMA9/21 and VWAP; RSI neutral-to-soft, Stoch trending down, MACD histogram shrinking, under short-term pressure.

🔹 Long:

🛑 SL: 2,440 (near 1H EMA200)

🟢 Add: 2,450 (not triggered), 2,455 (EMA21, not triggered)

🚀 Breakout entries: 2,461 (break above EMA9)

🎯 Targets: 2,480 / 2,500 / 2,568 (R1)

🔻 Short:

🛑 SL: 2,461 (break above EMA9 flips bullish)

🟢 Add: 2,455 (EMA21, not triggered), 2,454 (mid BB, not triggered)

🚨 Breakdown entries: 2,427 (break below EMA200)

🎯 Targets: 2,420 / 2,400 / 2,340 (Pivot P)

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【Timeframe】4H

Trend: Mid-term consolidation with a bullish tilt—price above the 21 EMA but below the 200 EMA, ADX <20 indicates weak trend, range-bound accumulation.

🔹 Long:

🛑 SL: 2,415 (break below 4H 21 EMA)

🟢 Add: 2,450 (not triggered), 2,460 (EMA9, not triggered)

🚀 Breakout entries: 2,470 (break above 4H 200 EMA)

🎯 Targets: 2,568 (R1) / 2,908 (R2) / 3,136 (R3)

🔻 Short:

🛑 SL: 2,470 (break above 4H 200 EMA flips bullish)

🟢 Add: 2,445 (EMA9, not triggered), 2,418 (EMA21, not triggered)

🚨 Breakdown entries: 2,340 (break below Pivot P)

🎯 Targets: 2,400 / 2,340 / 2,000 (S1)

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【Strategy Summary】

Recommendations:

- On the 1H, scale into longs around the 2,440–2,427 support zone with a SL at 2,440; if price breaks above 2,461, chase further longs toward 2,480/2,500/2,568. Should price fall below 2,427, switch to shorts, scaling in at 2,455/2,454 with SL at 2,461 and targets at 2,420/2,400/2,340.

- On the 4H, mid-term uptrend remains intact—consider adding longs near the 4H 21 EMA (~2,418) with SL at 2,415; above the 4H 200 EMA (~2,470), chase to 2,568/2,908; if price breaks below 2,340, flip to shorts.

- Risk Management: Maintain strict SL discipline, monitor volume and indicator divergences to avoid false breakouts.

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