📍#ETH Technical Analysis (2025/06/26)

ETH short-term consolidating below EMA9/21 and VWAP, 4H still oscillating above EMA21, momentum divergence, waiting for breakout direction.

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【Period】1H

Trend: Short-term bearish, price below 9/21 EMA and VWAP, RSI neutral to slightly down, Stoch downward, MACD bars continuously shrinking, short-term under pressure.

🔹 Long Position Information:

🛑 Stop Loss: 2440 (near 1H EMA200)

🟢 Add Long: 2450 (not triggered), 2455 (EMA21, not triggered)

🚀 Breakout to Add Long: 2461 (break above EMA9)

🎯 Take Profit: 2480, 2500, 2568 (R1)

🔻 Short Position Information:

🛑 Stop Loss: 2461 (break above EMA9 turns to long)

🟢 Add Short: 2455 (EMA21, not triggered), 2454 (Bollinger middle line, not triggered)

🚨 Breakout to Add Short: 2427 (break below EMA200)

🎯 Take Profit: 2420, 2400, 2340 (Pivot P)

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【Period】4H

Trend: Medium-term consolidation biased to bullish, price holding above 21 EMA but still below 200 EMA, ADX<20 shows weak trend, accumulating within the range.

🔹 Long Position Information:

🛑 Stop Loss: 2415 (break below 4H 21 EMA)

🟢 Add Long: 2450 (not triggered), 2460 (EMA9, not triggered)

🚀 Breakout to Add Long: 2470 (break above 4H 200 EMA)

🎯 Take Profit: 2568 (R1), 2908 (R2), 3136 (R3)

🔻 Short Position Information:

🛑 Stop Loss: 2470 (break above 4H 200 EMA turns to long)

🟢 Add Short: 2445 (EMA9, not triggered), 2418 (EMA21, not triggered)

🚨 Breakout to Add Short: 2340 (break below Pivot P)

🎯 Take Profit: 2400, 2340, 2000 (S1)

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【Strategy Summary】

Operation Suggestions:

- 1H: Gradually build long positions in the support zone of 2440–2427, stop loss at 2440, add long after breaking 2461, target 2480/2500/2568; if losing 2427 then turn to short, gradually add short at 2455/2454, stop loss at 2461, target 2420/2400/2340.

- 4H: Medium-term bullish structure generally intact, can add long positions near 4H 21 EMA (≈2418), stop loss at 2415; after breaking 4H 200 EMA (≈2470) continue to add long, targeting 2568/2908; if breaking below 2340 then turn to bearish.

- Risk Management: Strictly adhere to all stop losses, pay attention to trading volume and indicator divergence, beware of false breakouts.

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