Bitcoin (BTC) price is showing 3 bullish signals with a 10-year exchange flow low that could trigger a rally to the ATH before the end of June.
Despite a brutal weekend sell-off, Bitcoin (BTC) is only up 6% after a third straight day of price action.
This bullish outlook, along with exchange volume reaching a 10-year low, paints a very optimistic picture for the cryptocurrency market.
Is this foreshadowing an all-time high (ATH) for $BTC price? Let’s take a look at 3 reasons why a record high is possible in June.
BTC price gains 6% after weekend crash as investors buy dips
The one-day chart shows that the price of $BTC rose 4.37% on Monday, ending the downtrend of the previous three days.
This was followed by a gain of about 1% on Tuesday, resulting in a daily close of 16,120. As of June 25, 2025, Bitcoin has gained 0.47% and is trading at $106,618, a reversal of the 8% crash seen last week. Effectively eliminating.
Reason 1: Exchange Volume Down 10 Years, Is ATH Next?
CryptoQuant data shows that daily exchange flow has dropped to 40,000 BTC per day, a level last seen 10 years ago.
This decline in BTC on the main exchange is a clear indication of the lack of liquidity between institutional interest and spot bitcoin ETF flows.
In 2016 and 2017, a decline in this metric signaled a downward trend. The same was seen in late 2018 and early 2019. In both cases, the price of Bitcoin started a massive bull run that took it to new all-time highs.
In 2022 and 2023, exchange flows remained low for an extended period before the bull run resumed, pushing the price of $BTC to a new all-time high.
A similar outlook is evident now, with BTC reserves on exchanges lower than mid-2024. So, if history is anything to go by, there is a high probability that the price of Bitcoin will quickly climb to new highs.
Reason 2: Bullish Engulfing Candlestick
The weekly Bitcoin price chart shows a bullish engulfing candle in play. With four days to go before the weekly close, investors are watching for further confirmation of a recovery.
While the daily Bitcoin price chart may look bearish, the weekly chart shows a different picture. The mid-June decline pushed the price of BTC into the weekly FVG, which extends from $97.9K to $100.7K, providing support.
If the weekly candlestick produces a decisive close above $105,633, the resulting bounce shows promise. This move would confirm the bullish engulfing candle and attract buyers to the side.
Reason 3: Trump’s Intervention and Pause in the Middle East Conflict
The Iran-Israel conflict has sent markets, such as cryptocurrencies and stocks, into a tailspin. Oil suffered a major blow when the Iranian parliament voted to close the Strait of Hormuz.
However, US President Donald Trump's intervention and mutually agreed ceasefire provided short-term relief to the markets.
Although the ceasefire was violated by Iran, an extended peace in the Middle East could influence the Bitcoin price boom.
Closing Thoughts
At the current price, BTC is only 5.13% away from revisiting its all-time high. With Bitcoin price bullish forecasted in 2025 and candle odds and foreign exchange reserves falling to 10-year lows, the odds are skewed in favor of bulls hitting the ATH. Additionally, month-ends are often volatile and can trigger a rally for Bitcoin (BTC).
#BTC #bitcoin #CryptoMarket #MarketSentimentToday #Market_Update