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Preface
On June 24, 2025, Trump posted on his social media platform "Real Social" that "Mr. Too Late" Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will explain to Congress today why he refuses to lower interest rates.
Europe has cut rates 10 times, we have cut them zero. No inflation, booming economy - we should cut at least 2-3 percentage points. Would save the US $800 billion per year.
How many times has Trump urged Powell to cut interest rates since he took office in January? Why did Trump urge Powell to do so? Why didn't Powell cut interest rates?
1. Analysis of BTC market today
Current pattern: The small level is still in an ascending wedge (bearish pattern). The recent rebound may be the last one, and the high is expected to be around 107200.
BTC has been hovering above $105,500 in the past two days. Although the trading volume is not large, the price is slowly climbing.
Why? Because there are too many short sellers in the market. Every time the price rises a little, some unconvinced short sellers will enter the market to increase their positions, but the long sellers will push the price up little by little.
In the short term, there is a high probability that this market will have another wave of momentum, with the target being around US$107,200 - that is, to force those stubborn short sellers to liquidate their positions, and only after they cut their losses will the market be likely to pull back.
Key points:
Upper pressure: 107200 (if touched, it may turn down)
Support below: Focus on 102000-100000 (may accelerate downward after breaking)
Short-term rebound does not change the bearish trend. Wait patiently for the pattern to complete, add positions on rebound or hold existing short positions
2: ETH market analysis today
Current form: The small level is still in an ascending wedge (bearish form) and has begun to pull back. The current rebound is more like a lure to buy, deceiving those who are chasing the rise, and then the decline may accelerate.
Operation strategy:
Mainly short sell on rallies - rebounds are better short selling opportunities.
Be wary of being lured into buying - don't be fooled by short-term rebounds and chase the gains, the general trend is still bearish.
ETH has been fluctuating around 2450 in the past two days, reaching a high of 2480 before falling back. The trading volume has been shrinking. I don’t know if it is “fishing” - making short sellers think that it will fall, but suddenly pulling the price to 2520-2550 to burst the shorts.
However, there is selling pressure above 2480, and there is no movement in the contract and spot funds (CVD). It is estimated that the price will go up to 2470 today, and then it may fall back.
The direction is unclear now, but with shrinking volume and heavy selling pressure, the short-term trend may rebound first and then correct. Let's wait and see!
2: Trump is frantically urging for a rate cut, so why is Powell refusing to do so?
1. Trump is anxious: He scolds Powell every day and urges him to cut interest rates
In the past few months, Trump has publicly called on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates at least 17 times, and even called Powell "Mr. Too Late" and a "fool."
His reasons:
Europe has lowered its prices 10 times, but the United States has not lowered its prices once. This is not fair!
"There is no inflation now" (oil and food prices are falling), and lowering interest rates can save hundreds of billions of yuan in interest every year.
Lowering interest rates can stimulate the economy and boost the stock market, which will be beneficial to his election.
2. Why didn’t Powell cut the rate?
The economic data is still good: the unemployment rate is low (4.5%), wages are rising, and it is not yet to the point where interest rates must be cut.
Fear of inflation rebound: if the rate cut is too drastic, prices will soar again, which will be even more difficult to deal with.
The impact of tariffs is uncertain: Trump's tariffs may push up prices, and the Federal Reserve wants to wait and see.
3. Market forecast: Will prices drop this year? How many times will prices drop?
There may be a reduction in September, and we will see the situation at the end of the year.
But it may also be reduced only once, or even not at all, depending on inflation and employment data.
Summarize
Trump wants to boost the economy and win votes by cutting interest rates, but Powell is more cautious, fearing that rate cuts will trigger inflation. September may be a key node, but the details still depend on the data.
