Altcoin Market Analysis: Risks Hidden Behind the Rebound, July 9 Tariff Test Becomes Key

Recent Trends: Geopolitical Risks Easing, Funds Temporarily Replenished.

As the conflict in the Middle East cools, market bearish sentiment has been digested, leading to a significant rebound in altcoins, with some cryptocurrencies experiencing notable gains within two days.

However, caution is advised: this round of increase is not a trend reversal but a result of short-term capital speculation, and its sustainability is in doubt.

Biggest Risk: July 9 Tariff Suspension Expiration

If not extended: High tariffs from the U.S. on China will automatically take effect → Market panic selling → Altcoins may rapidly plummet.

If extended: Market sentiment may improve → Funds could further drive the altcoin rotation trend.

Current Strategy: Before the Z policy is implemented, there remains significant uncertainty in the market, and blindly chasing gains poses a high risk.

Technical Observation: Rebound Approaching Key Resistance

Most altcoins have rebounded to previous high resistance levels or near downward trend lines; if they cannot break through, a decline may occur again.

Volume Analysis: Some cryptocurrencies have rebounded with declining volume, indicating insufficient capital participation, making the rise's foundation unstable.

Operational Advice: Prioritize Stability, Wait for Clear Signals

Short-term Traders: Can participate with light positions in strong cryptocurrencies but must strictly set stop-loss orders to avoid impacts from tariff black swans. Pay close attention to market sentiment changes before July 9 and be ready to exit at any time.

Medium to Long-term Investors: The market is still in a high-risk cycle; it is best to watch and wait for the Z policy to be implemented before making any moves. If the tariff suspension is extended, consider altcoins with low market capitalization and strong ecological support.

Current Rebound ≠ Trend Reversal, July 9 Tariff Decision May Become Market Turning Point.

Safest Strategy: Reduce Frequent Operations, Keep Powder Dry, Wait for More Clear Signals.

Remember: In an uncertain market, not losing money is making money!#剥头皮策略