Here you have an updated and well-founded prediction for BTC:
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📈 Technical outlook and key levels (short term)
Bitcoin remains in a consolidation channel between USD 99k and USD 112k, with immediate support at USD 100k and resistance around USD 107–109k.
If it breaks strongly above ~109k, technical analysts foresee the next stop between USD 112k–115k, and potentially USD 130k before the end of the third quarter of 2025.
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🔭 Price expectations by the end of 2025 (medium and long term)
CoinDCX suggests a conservative range of USD 104k–106k by the end of June, but they project a growth of 30%+, bringing BTC between USD 130k–150k for 2025.
Institutions like VanEck, Fundstrat, and Standard Chartered are more optimistic, estimating highs of USD 180k–250k during 2025.
Bernstein adjusted their forecast upward, estimating nearly USD 200k by the end of 2025, driven by flows into spot ETFs.
From a more moderate perspective, Bitpanda suggests that BTC could soon exceed USD 120k, bolstered by institutional inflows.
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🌍 Determining factors
Factor Short-term impact Medium/long-term impact
Geopolitics / macro Quick rises after tensions (e.g., U.S.–Iran); corrections if conflict escalates Dollar weakness could reinforce its appeal
Institutional adoption Increased investment via spot ETFs, accumulation by companies Seen as a reserve asset, with potential long-term purchases
Technical trend / halving Technical patterns indicate consolidation and possible bullish breakout Post-halving effect favors prolonged bullish cycles
