‘Build positions in batches + exit in batches’ — neither go all in nor miss out.

  • How to do it: If you are optimistic about a coin, don't buy all at once. For example, if you plan to invest 100,000, start by buying 20,000 to test the waters, buy 30,000 if it drops 10%, and buy 50,000 if it drops 20% (buy more as it drops, but set a baseline); when it rises, sell half when it hits your target price, and keep selling as it goes higher, while leaving some to watch the trend.

  • Why it's smart: It avoids 'buying at the peak' or 'not having funds to buy more when it drops'. For example, when SEI dropped from 0.22 to 0.19, those who bought in batches had a much lower average cost than those who went all in, which also helped maintain their mindset.

‘Look at the big cycle to set direction, find buying and selling points in the small cycle’ — don't be fooled by short-term fluctuations.

  • How to do it: First, observe the weekly/daily charts to determine the overall trend (such as whether Bitcoin is in a bull or bear market), then look for entry points using 4-hour/1-hour charts. For example, when the overall trend is upward, buy when the small cycle pulls back to a support level (like SEI at 0.21), and don't chase during a small cycle surge.

  • Why it's smart: Many people are misled by minute charts and manipulated by K-line patterns drawn by whales. Wait until the big cycle stabilizes before taking action, to avoid becoming ‘fuel for the harvesting of naive investors’.

‘Grid trading — harvesting profits in fluctuating markets’

  • How to do it: Set a price range (for example, SEI oscillating between 0.19-0.20), sell a batch every 5% increase and buy a batch every 5% decrease, automatically buying low and selling high. Use the grid tools of exchanges without having to monitor the market yourself.

  • Why it's smart: It suits coins that are flat and neither rise nor fall, as many altcoins spend most of their time oscillating. Smart people use grids to earn from volatility instead of just holding.

  • How to do it: Pay attention to what concepts are trending in the crypto world (such as AI coins or cross-chain in 2024, and perhaps GameFi 2.0 or RWA in 2025), find the leading coins in this sector, or projects with real progress (like SEI partnering with Circle), and avoid obscure coins that nobody talks about.

  • Why it's smart: The crypto market is ‘narrative-driven’; there needs to be a story for funds to flow in, and obscure coins may never rise.

‘Set stop-loss and take-profit levels in advance, and don't hesitate when the time comes’ — against human nature but lifesaving.

  • How to do it: Set your loss limit at ‘cut losses at 15%’ and ‘take profit at 30% by selling half’, and use conditional orders on exchanges to execute automatically. For example, if SEI rises to $0.26, set a sell order for half at $0.25 in advance; don't think ‘let's wait for it to rise further before selling’, otherwise you might end up with nothing when it drops back.

  • Why it's smart: Human nature is greedy; smart people replace emotions with rules. For example, during the LUNA crash, those who set stop-losses in advance only lost 15%, while those who held on lost everything.

‘Diversify positions, but don't over-diversify — don't put all your eggs in one basket, but also don't spread them across 100 baskets.’

  • How to do it: Divide your capital into 3-5 portions, investing in leading coins from different sectors (for example, 1 portion in Bitcoin/Ethereum, 1 portion in trending public chains like SEI, 1 portion in promising altcoins, and 1 portion in stablecoins as backup). Don't buy more than 10 coins; it's hard to manage.

  • Why it's smart: For example, when AI coins soar in 2024, people who diversify their positions can enjoy the gains without suffering huge losses from betting on the wrong coin. Being too diversified can dilute returns; it's better to focus on understanding a few good coins.

Just a final note:

The biggest strategy of smart people in the crypto world is ‘acknowledging that they will make mistakes’ — not pretending to be a guru, admitting when they're wrong, and not getting carried away when they make money. Those who shout ‘go all in to get rich’ are either scammers or just naive investors. The ones who truly make money are quietly using discipline to combat human nature.

#鲍威尔讲话 #波段交易策略 #币圈起伏落袋为安