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$BTC Update Key Zones: - Immediate Resistance Zone: 107,500 - 108,650 (dMonth VAH to pMonth VAH) - critical breakout zone for bullish continuation. - Immediate Support Zone: 105,150 - 105,670 (30D VWAP and 16D CVAH) - primary line in the sand, a breakdown could trigger downside momentum. - Strong Lower Support Zone: 104,000 - 102,800 (pMonth VWAP to dMonth VAL) - robust buying interest expected here. Trading Hypotheses: Bullish: Clear acceptance above 108,650 targets psychological and liquidity-rich zones above. Bearish: Loss of 30D VWAP (~105,150) triggers a corrective pullback towards lower supports. Summary: Maintain a neutral-to-bullish bias while price holds above the 30D VWAP (105,150). Watch carefully for volatility expansion upon breaking either side of the current range.
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Spot CVD ↑ + Delta Spot ↑ + Price ↓ - Buyers aggressive, but getting absorbed - Likely trapped longs - Sign of sell-side strength (limit asks) - Bearish setup - fade bounce, short into weakness
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Why did the price drop? Analyzing the spot order book and CVD on @kiyotaka_ai, we can observe that during the recent price rise to 107,700, the spot CVD did not increase, indicating that new buy orders were fully absorbed by sellers. Additionally, examining Open Interest, we see it did not rise alongside the price. Instead, Open Interest decreased, signaling the closure of positions, a bearish indicator suggesting the move was primarily a short squeeze rather than a genuine bullish trend. Additionally, a strong wall of limit orders at 108k was clearly visible. All these factors combined indicated an impending price drop.
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$HYPE Update Currently trading slightly above key confluent VWAP levels (30D VWAP at 37.53 and pWeek VWAP at 37.29), establishing short-term bullish momentum. Bullish Scenario: Maintain support above the 30D and pWeek VWAP (37.3–37.5) for continuation upward targeting 38.17 (dQuarter VAH) and potentially higher toward monthly extremes (~40). Bearish Scenario: Rejection back below 37.3 opens downside toward 7D VWAP at 36.17 and possibly lower toward weekly value area lows around 35.2–35.3. Trade Plan: Maintain long bias above 37.3, targeting 38.17 initially. Short bias resumes below VWAP confluence at 37.3, targeting 36.17.
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$SOL Update Solana reclaimed key VWAP levels, notably breaking above the pivotal 90D rolling VWAP at 143.5, shifting short-term momentum bullish. Bullish Scenario: Maintain support at 90D VWAP (143.5); continuation to 149.6 (dMonth VWAP) and potentially toward the 152.1–154 (pWeek VAH/pYear VWAP) resistance zone. Bearish Scenario: Loss of 90D VWAP likely results in a pullback toward 140.5 (dMonth VAL) and subsequently 138.5 (7D VWAP). Trade Plan: Long bias if 143.5 holds, targeting higher resistance. Flip short on clear rejection above 149.6–152.1.
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