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JUST IN - Iranian media officially confirms ceasefire is in effect — PressTV#
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U.S. Labor Market Update – May 2025 JOLTS Data ➡️ Job openings rose to 7.77 million, above forecasts ➡️ Hiring slowed to 5.50 million ➡️ Layoffs declined; quits rate steady at 2.1% 📌 Implication: Fed rate cuts likely delayed. 💵 USD up, Treasury yields rise 📍 Analysts highlight risks from strong labor demand + weak hiring 📍 Rate cut bets now shift toward September, not July Stay tuned for the NFP report – July 3 Crypto Market Reaction:
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What Could Push Jerome Powell to Cut Rates? Fed Chair Jerome Powell is holding off on cutting interest rates — but here’s what might change that: 🔹 Tariffs & Inflation Powell expects new tariffs to cause a temporary spike in inflation. 🗣 “If we make a mistake, people will pay the cost for a long time.” 🔹 June CPI Report Is Critical • A strong reading (≥0.2%) could delay any cuts. • A soft print (like May’s 0.1%) might open the door to a July rate cut. 🔹 Labor Market as a Wild Card • Unemployment is low (4.2%), but cracks are showing: – Slower hiring – Rising jobless claims – More people collecting unemployment 📅 Next Fed meeting: July 29–30 ➡️ If inflation cools or jobs data weakens, a rate cut may come sooner. #interestrates #USEconomy #MacroUpdate
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Fed Rate Watch Update (via BlockBeats & CME FedWatch) 🔹 July: • 79.8% chance rates stay unchanged • 20.2% chance of a 25bps cut 🔹 September: • Just 5.3% chance rates remain unchanged • 75.9% chance of a 25bps cut • 18.8% chance of a 50bps cut Markets are betting on rate cuts ahead! 👀📉 #FedWatch #InterestRates #Macro
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🇺🇸+🇨🇳 China and the U.S. agreed to implement the “Geneva Consensus”: 🔹 China to resume rare earth exports to the U.S. 🔹 U.S. to ease tariffs and export restrictions on China 🔹 Trump: “Deal is done—China sends magnets and rare earths, we send ethane.” Initially announced on June 11. 🌍 A major step in easing U.S.-China trade tensions. #TradeDeal #USChina
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Important Reminder for Traders Given the ongoing Middle East conflict and the uncertainty surrounding regional developments, it's strongly advised to approach buy positions with caution until the situation becomes clearer. If you already hold any long (buy) positions, don’t forget to set your stop-loss and take-profit levels. Risk management is crucial in times like these and can make the difference between gains and significant losses. The market is highly reactive and emotional during geopolitical crises—avoid hasty decisions and stay updated with fundamental and news-based analysis. #RiskManagement #MiddleEastCrisis #FundamentalAnalysis $ETH $SOL $BTC
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