The market's knife specifically targets those who stubbornly hold on, yet leaves an escape route for those who can dodge.
Currently, ETH is hovering around 2407, with the 'Summit' at 2879 above and the 'Mariana Trench' at 2111 below. The four-hour chart shows three key signals:
MACD green bars emerging but not crossing up: Bearish momentum is weakening, but DIF and DEA are still hovering underwater, and the rebound hasn't stabilized;
Volatility narrowed to 1.19%: Neither bulls nor bears dare to act, waiting for a reversal! Trump's announcement of a full ceasefire in the Middle East didn't boost crypto prices, indicating market numbness; technical factors need to break the deadlock;
Liquidation volume accumulation: There is support at the bottom, but the rebound won't be immediate; it requires time to build a bottom.
De-risking Strategy:
1. Heavily trapped positions
Reduce positions to lower risk: Take the opportunity to sell 1/3 when rebounding to 2450-2500, don’t be greedy! Save some bullets to add positions at 2350 to average down the cost;
Stop-loss Rule: If it drops below the previous low of 2388, you must cut your position! Otherwise, the risk of deep loss skyrockets.
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2. Lightly trapped positions
Lay back and wait for the wind: Although the ceasefire in the Middle East hasn't immediately boosted prices, it has reduced geopolitical risks. If it stabilizes above 2430 in the short term, it may push towards the resistance level of 2520;
Dynamic profit-taking: Reduce half your position near 2520, hold the rest for a breakout above 2600, and liquidate immediately if volume is insufficient.
3. Bottom-fishing leads to being trapped
Refuse to blindly add positions: Don't add near 2400 until 2111 is confirmed! Wait for the daily line to stabilize at 2430 and for the MACD to cross up, then add in batches;
Switching tracks to hedge: If ETH continues to decline, shift some positions to strong sectors like AI and RWA, using profits to fill the gap.
Three Major Taboo:
Stubbornly holding on without cutting losses leads to deep traps and potential zeroing out;
Heavy positions liquidated before a directional change;
Listening to news, the positive Middle East news has been disproven.
$ETH
For specific de-risking strategies, focus on Big D, where professional insights will provide real-time analysis, teaching you how to steadily increase value.
