Core of the Event: Permanent Lockup of 'National Strategic Reserves'

Official Confirmation: Trump signed an executive order in March 2025, confirming that the U.S. government holds approximately 198,000 bitcoins, primarily sourced from assets seized in criminal cases over the past decade. These bitcoins will no longer be auctioned but will be held long-term as a 'strategic bitcoin reserve.'

Operational Mechanism: Reserve assets managed with zero new fiscal expenditure, utilizing only existing seized assets, ensuring transparency through federal audits. Additionally, some other cryptocurrencies will be included as part of the digital asset inventory.

Strategic Shift: From 'Loot Auctions' to 'National Strategic Assets'

Historical Comparison: Over the past 10 years, the U.S. has auctioned off 195,000 bitcoins for a total of only $366 million. If held until now, their value would exceed $17 billion, missing out on a potential gain of $16.6 billion. This shift is seen as a correction of short-sighted policies.

Countering Dollar Risks: With U.S. debt surpassing $36 trillion and inflation pressures rising, bitcoin is viewed as 'digital gold' to hedge against currency instability.

Competing for Crypto Dominance: Incorporating bitcoin into the national reserve system aims to establish U.S. rule-making authority in the digital currency era, countering competition from China's digital yuan.

Market Reaction: Short-term Volatility and Long-term Benefits

Divergence in Crypto Sentiment:

Supporters: MicroStrategy founder Michael Saylor calls this 'the most bullish signal in history,' while Binance's CZ believes the U.S. has entered a 'digital reserve mode.'

Doubters: Critics argue that the policy undermines the decentralized nature of cryptocurrencies and may foster government manipulation of market risks.

Price Impact:

Short-term Selling Pressure Eliminated: Permanent lockup equates to eliminating $18 billion in potential selling pressure, significantly improving long-term supply-demand balance.

Market Resilience Strengthened: Despite events like the Middle East conflict causing bitcoin to drop below $100,000 yesterday, institutions continue to enter, supporting prices to fluctuate in the $100,000-$110,000 range.

Common Investor Coping Strategies

Short-term Operations: Defensive Layout

Key Support Level Monitoring

$98,000–$102,000: Layered accumulation range, stop loss if it drops below $95,000; above $105,000: A breakthrough and stabilization can be seen as a reversal signal;

Avoid Leverage Pursuit: Recent market volatility has surged, requiring strict position control.

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