⚠️ Middle East war hits the crypto market — what is happening now?
First – Trump's strike on Iran:
Trump announced American airstrikes with B-2 on Iranian nuclear facilities (Fordow, Natanz, Isfahan), describing them as "extremely successful".
The attack increased geopolitical tension, oil surged, and the money market turned towards gold and the dollar.
📉 Immediate impact on crypto and Bitcoin:
Bitcoin dropped from ~105K to ~102K$—a loss of about 4% since the onset of direct tensions.
The crypto market lost more than 140 billion dollars with most cryptocurrencies negatively affected.
🔍 Key questions and their realistic answers:
❓ Common question ✅ Current answer
**Is BTC a safe haven?** No, Bitcoin has not stood as a safe haven yet. Gold and the dollar are clearly the real safety.
Was the escalation surprising? No. Prediction markets on Polymarket were giving probabilities for a military event before the end of June reaching 44%.
How much might the price drop soon? Analyses indicate a potential additional drop of 10–20%, with some expecting even 50% if the war expands.
Will the markets recover quickly? There are rebound opportunities if tensions calm within 48 hours, but the duration is very short and fraught with risks.
🚨 Two scenarios and decisive outcomes:
1. Serious escalation
Direct U.S. involvement could push BTC down to $80–90K, repeating patterns of previous major contractions.
2. Quick calming
If Iran retracts and relative calm extends, Bitcoin may gradually rebound towards $105–110K.
📌 A realistic summary without emotion:
The Bitcoin market is in a phase of opportunity or trap, with no neutrality:
The professional investor follows emergency developments first.
The meme coin investor is likely to lose more or flee first.
Advice:
Ensure security stability and official statements before entering. Monitor the growth of BTC funds on exchanges and Open Interest data—these are the first indicators, and the meme market reacts first.
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