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Web3彭于晏之几木
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The missile ultimately fell onto encrypted assets.
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Web3彭于晏之几木
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比特币$BTC 四年周期正在失效? 众所周知,比特币自诞生以来始终呈现“四年一个牛熊轮回”的周期性(见图1上半部分),但这一次似乎正在发生变化。 图1下半部分是情绪指标 NUPL,反映当前价格与链上持仓成本的差距。 数值 < 0 = 恐慌(绿色) 数值 > 0.75 = 贪婪(紫色) 结合“周期 + 情绪”来看,有几点值得注意: 🏷️如果旧周期依然有效,现在应该接近顶部,下一轮情绪低点预计在2026年下半年; 但这一轮走势出现异常: 🏷️过去每轮牛市从低点到高点大致经历 700–900 天,但这一轮从 2023 年 12 月起已超过 900 天; 🏷️更关键的是,情绪指标从未触及贪婪区域(0.75),今年最高也未超过 0.65,仍处于温和区间。 这一轮,是不是要打破比特币“四年定律”? #比特币 #比特币走势分析 #比特币减半
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$ETH E子好起来了,但我也学聪明了,仓位的3分之1拿来波段,涨的快了我就跑3分之1,跌下来接回来。e子每一段上涨都会有一个大回撤。当然,这样的风险是踏空3分之1仓的加速段。
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E子,让我再爱你一次!这次能不能不要辜负我!$ETH
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$ETH 起飞!
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$ETH 的舞台即将开演,爆辣!同时开了606eth2650的call
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