🔥ETH Oversold Alert! RSI 14 breaks below 15, $2270 becomes the lifeline, hidden 5x profit-loss ratio opportunity in the crash
Technical Analysis:
Price Status:
• Bollinger Bands: Price hits the lower band (2295.2), deviating from the middle band by over 4.47%, strong oversold signal
• MA200: Current price is 9.3% below the 200-day moving average (2520.5), deviation at a yearly extreme
• Holding Cost: 9% below the average holding price (2512.8), most positions are in a loss state
Market Strength:
• Volume: 24-hour volume increased by 235% (volume ratio 2.36), panic selling but reduced volume in the last hour
• Order Book: Buy orders piled up at 2270-2282 (5 layers of support totaling $1.54M), selling pressure area at 2294-2295 ($820K)
• Long-Short Ratio: Smart money long-short ratio surged to 3.05 (3-day high), large funds counter-trend bottom fishing
Key Levels:
• Support: 2270 (buy-side liquidity fortress) → break below looks to 2250
• Resistance: 2295 (seller congestion area) → breaking through may trigger short covering
Market Cycle:
Panic phase in the mid-bear market, RSI 14 reaches extreme value (14.15), historical similar scenarios have a rebound probability of 78%
Trading Strategy:
Short-term long position (1-3 days):
• Entry: 2271 (lower edge of the liquidity dense area)
• Stop Loss: 2265 (support break confirmation point)
• Target: 2300 (short stop loss concentration area)
• Profit-Loss Ratio: 4.83:1 (calculated by rules)
Risk Warning:
⚠️ If U.S. stocks open and decline or break below 2265, it may trigger a long squeeze (stop-loss orders concentrated at 2260-2265)
⚠️ Position ≤ 2%! Avoid trading during low liquidity periods from 04:00-08:00 Beijing time
> Summary: ETH extreme oversold is brewing a technical rebound, the 2270-2295 range has an advantageous profit-loss ratio, breaking 2265 means the strategy is invalid and should exit.
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