🧠 Topic: What is halving, how it affects token prices (including BTC), and why you shouldn't expect pumps on schedule @Cryptoland_88

🪓 What is halving?

Halving (#Halving ) is an event coded in, where the reward for miners is cut in half.

This happens for BTC every 210,000 blocks ≈ 4 years:

Date Block Reward

2009 (genesis) 50 BTC

2012, 25 BTC

2016, 12.5 BTC

2020, 6.25 BTC

April 20, 2024, 3.125 BTC

✅ Result — the issuance rate falls, and each new bitcoin is 'mined' at a higher cost.

📈 Why can halving affect the price?

Supply Reduction

Fewer new BTC → potential scarcity.

Increase in mining cost

Miners need to sell less to break even.

Market Psychology

'Halving hype' attracts media and investors.

⚠️ Why 'pump by timer' is not guaranteed

Factor Why the scenario might fail

📊 Macroeconomics High rates, recession → risk-off.

🏦 Regulations Bans/taxes may reduce demand.

🐳 Whales Can buy in advance and sell 'on the news.'

🔄 Derivatives Short-/long-liquidations distort the chart.

👷‍♂️ Miners If the hash rate grows faster than the price, they are forced to sell more.

📌 Halving reduces the influx of new coins but does not change demand. Without demand, scarcity does not work.

💡 Other halvings

$LTC — every ~4 years (last: August 2023)

$BCH BSV — forks of BTC, similar cycle

$DASH — smooth 'mini-halving' every 210,240 blocks

#ETC — a 20% reward reduction every 5 million blocks

Not all coins see a price increase after halving — it's all about #utility and liquidity.

🧠 Conclusion

Halving makes bitcoin gradually deflationary, but the price depends on demand, macro factors, and the behavior of large players.

Use halving as a fundamental plus, not as a guarantee of 'x's.

📖 In the next issue, I will explain: What are market cycles (bull & bear), how to recognize them, and why it's important to have a strategy, not just guess the bottom.

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