A Big Market Needs a 'Catalyst'

The current market appears calm on the surface, but there are undercurrents.

Short-term: Low liquidity + geopolitical uncertainty = potential for increased volatility, but direction is unclear.

Medium-term: Expectations of Fed rate cuts + U.S. economic issues = a possibility of larger market movements in the second half of the year.

The key point is — who can break the deadlock?

If the Middle East suddenly erupts, the market may fall before rising (panic selling → increased expectations of rate cuts).

If the Fed turns dovish, funds may flow directly into Bitcoin and U.S. stocks.

Strategy:

Be patient and don’t let short-term volatility shake you out of your positions.

Keep a close eye on the Middle East and the Fed; these two factors will determine the starting point of the next big market movement.