Weekend review of the BTC futures liquidation map, discovering several key points!
The long-short balance has tilted again: This wave of decline in March directly wiped out the last wave of long positions in the $100,000-$110,000 range. Currently, short funds are clearly dominating the futures market, like one side of a seesaw sinking down.
$114,700 is the key target: If the price steadfastly holds above $100,000, with the current momentum, long positions are likely to push back towards the $114,700 mark. But don't rush to go all-in—how much real capital is piled up in short positions at this level is like opening a mystery box.
Beware of data traps: Liquidation map reference values over a month old should be discounted, as this only shows the capital distribution at the time of opening positions, while the funds for closing positions are not displayed at all. It’s like drawing only the attack route in a battle without showing the retreat route; in real combat, precise predictions are impossible.
Black swan disruptions: There was a clear opportunity to trigger a short squeeze, but suddenly there was conflict in the Middle East, causing the market to back off instead of liquidating shorts, and instead it reversed and surged. Such sudden news is like changing the rules in a game; no matter how accurate the technical analysis is, it can't withstand a real-world bombshell.
Summary: The current futures market is like a powder keg full of explosives; shorts seem strong but their hidden cards are unclear, while longs are holding back and want to retaliate but lack a trigger. At this time, being a bystander is the safest; if you really want to jump in, remember to set your stop-loss orders—after all, it’s not about technical skills now, it’s about who can withstand the hardest hit.
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