#美国国债 The high interest rates of U.S. Treasury bonds, if not lowered, make it **unlikely for the U.S. economy to collapse in the short term, but it faces significant recession risks** for the following reasons:

1. **Increased fiscal burden:** The government pays higher interest on massive debts, squeezing other expenditures or being forced to raise taxes/bonds, which is unsustainable.

2. **Economic vitality suppressed:** High borrowing costs for businesses and consumers inhibit investment, home buying, and consumption, dragging down economic growth.

3. **Potential financial risks:** A high-interest rate environment may expose fragile segments of the financial system (such as certain banks or corporate debt risks), leading to localized turmoil.

**Conclusion:** While an immediate collapse is not expected, maintaining high interest rates for the long term is very likely to drag the U.S. economy into a deep recession and exacerbate fiscal difficulties. The Federal Reserve must make difficult trade-offs between combating inflation and maintaining growth.