$BTC If the high interest rates on U.S. Treasury bonds do not decrease, the U.S. economy is **unlikely to collapse in the short term, but faces significant recession risks** for the following reasons:

1. **Increased fiscal burden:** The government pays higher interest on massive debt, squeezing other expenditures or being forced to raise taxes/bonds, which is unsustainable.

2. **Economic vitality suppressed:** High borrowing costs for businesses and consumers inhibit investment, home purchases, and consumption, dragging down economic growth.

3. **Potential financial risks:** A high-interest rate environment may expose vulnerabilities in the financial system (such as risks from certain banks or corporate debts), triggering localized turmoil.

**Conclusion:** Although it may not collapse immediately, maintaining high interest rates for the long term is very likely to drag the U.S. economy into a deep recession and exacerbate fiscal difficulties. The Federal Reserve must carefully balance between combating inflation and supporting growth.