$BTC This is the current summary and forecast for Bitcoin (BTC) for today, June 21, 2025:
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📊 Current market situation:
The price of BTC has dropped today by about 0.9%, to 103,390 USD. The intraday range fluctuates from 102,609 USD (min) to 106,451 USD (max).
The last consolidation is in the range of 103.4k–105.6k USD, with resistance around EMA (20/50/100) and a key level at 106.6k (EMA200).
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🧠 Technical interpretation:
BTC is stuck in a symmetric triangle – movements bordering resistance at 105.6k and support at 103.4k.
4-hour indicators (RSI ~44, MACD, Parabolic SAR) indicate a muted, slightly bearish pressure – so far with no strong impulse in either direction.
In options, strikes of 104,000 and 105,000 USD dominate – there is no significant advantage for bulls or bears, which indicates limited volatility.
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🌍 Macro factors and sentiment:
The recent improvement in sentiment (e.g., green wave in premarket) leads to slight increases (+1.1%) – today’s climb bounced from 104k USD.
Key factors: tensions in the Middle East, Fed stance (announcement of some cuts), dollar strength – a weakening USD may lift BTC quotes.
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🔍 Scenarios for today:
Scenario Conditions Potential
Bullish Breaks 105.6k and holds above Move towards 107–108k USD
Bearish Falls below 103.4k Potential drop to 102k, or even 100.6k (liquidity supplies)
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💡 Tips for day and swing traders:
1. Entries: on a bounce from 103.4k or a breakout above 105.6k, with confirmed volume.
2. Position management: stop-loss a few percent below support or above resistance at breakout.
3. Monitor news about the Middle East and Fed – they can quickly change sentiment.
4. Set alerts at key levels (Binance & TradingView) – 103.4k, 105.6k, 106.6k.
