1. Military Threat & Diplomacy Ultimatum
Trump has issued a two‑week ultimatum for Iran to halt uranium enrichment or face potential U.S. military strikes, possibly targeting the Fordow facility with bunker-buster bombs .
The White House confirmed he’s weighing a decision in the coming two weeks on whether to directly intervene .
2. Rejecting Ceasefire, Demanding Surrender
Trump has explicitly stated he does not seek a ceasefire between Israel and Iran, instead demanding a complete give-up of Iran’s nuclear ambitions .
He went further, calling for Iran’s “unconditional surrender” and warning all of Tehran’s population to evacuate immediately .
3. Disputing U.S. Intelligence
Trump contested assessments from U.S. intelligence, including by DNI Tulsi Gabbard, which said Iran wasn’t actively building nukes, insisting Iran **could have a weapon “within weeks or months”** .
4. Backed Israeli Strikes, Coordinated Response
He called Israel’s attacks on Iran “excellent” and pledged further U.S. military support, including aerial defense of Israeli actions .
Trump publicly praised Israel’s campaign, warning that future strikes could be “even more brutal” if Iran doesn’t “make a deal now” .
5. Maximum‑Pressure & Sanctions Strategy
In February 2025, Trump reinstated a “maximum pressure” campaign: expanding sanctions aimed at collapsing Iran’s oil revenues and forcing nuclear concessions .
Coupled with indirect diplomatic overtures—his March letter to Khamenei and intermediary talks via Oman—Trump has balanced pressure with minimal negotiations .
🔍 Summary
Trump is clearly escalating pressure through military threats (two-week decision window, bunker-busters), economic sanctions, and strong support for Israel.
He rejects a mere ceasefire, instead demanding Iran surrender its nuclear program completely.
He disputes U.S. intelligence downplaying Iran’s progress, asserting a nuclear weapon could be near.
There remains a non-zero diplomatic track, with indirect talks ongoing and the ultimatum window still open.
What to Watch
Timeline What’s Next
Next 2 Weeks Trump’s decision on whether to militarily intervene.
Iran’s Response Whether Iran halts enrichment or escalates retaliation.
Global Response Allies’ reactions will shape future policy (e.g. Europe, Israel).
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