The market at 96907583883 is stable in a triangular pattern without breaking the resistance level of 107000. If it breaks 107000 today and reaches 108000, there is a chance to break the pressure level of the triangular pattern, moving towards a high of 112000. However, as it has not broken 107000, it ultimately fell below the support of the triangular pattern, returning to the low range of 100000-112000.
Currently, the low point is at 102300, and the entire support area is between 100300-102500. The market has reverted to the range of oscillation between approximately 110000 and 100000 since May 12, which is indeed very tiring.
Today is Friday, and with the U.S. stock market closed over the weekend, considering Trump might play golf and the uncertainty of delaying military decisions regarding Iran, there is a significant possibility of panic selling at high levels. However, Iran is likely to move towards negotiations in the future, but at least the market will downplay the war, as evidenced by the Russia-Ukraine situation, which still experienced a bull market in 2024. Moreover, Iran's past comments regarding its allies like Yemen, Hamas, and the conflicts with Israel indicate that it wants to distance itself from war; the conflicts are attributed to the beliefs of its allies. Thus, Iran will definitely seek negotiations, while the U.S. is merely stirring the pot to gain its desired benefits without participating in the conflict. Trump's governing style is to stir trouble and make money.
From an indicator perspective, the long-term indicators still lean towards bullishness, so recovering the K-line at 102300 is a good entry point. If there are phased long positions at 104000 and the market has not exited at 107000, this position can be re-entered. As for contracts, the same advice applies: take the waves, move the strong stop loss by 10000 points, and continue to take waves long.
To speak the truth, the entire market is not worried about the Fed's statements but is instead concerned about Trump and the White House's comments on the Iran-Israel conflict. Such remarks can easily stimulate the market, leading to panic selling and risk aversion. However, in the investment field, this also presents a money-making opportunity, and Trump will only negotiate to obtain the benefits he needs while stirring up trouble. I remain bullish on the news, and I am bullish on the market indicators.
In summary: primarily take long positions on dips.