🔍 How to know if a rise is a trap (bull trap)?
A "bull trap" is when the price rises to trap buyers, but then falls sharply, causing losses. The typical signals of a false rise are:
🚨 Bull trap signals:
1. 📉 Low volume during the rise: few real buyers, just speculation.
2. 🧱 Rejection at strong resistances: if the price cannot break a key level and is rejected.
3. 🕯️ Candles with long wicks on top (in 1h, 4h, or daily): indicate hidden selling (distribution).
4. ❌ Indicators like RSI or MACD showing divergences: the price rises, but the indicators fall.
5. 💰 Whales selling while retail investors buy: you can see this in the Order Book or on-chain movements.
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✅ How to know if it's a real rise?
A legitimate rise (real impulse) usually has these characteristics:
1. 🔊 Increasing and continuous volume in bullish candles.
2. 🔥 Clear breakout of key resistances with confirmation and successful retesting.
3. 📈 Strong but not extreme RSI (60–75), with support in mid zones.
4. 📊 MACD crossed upward and moving away from the signal line.
5. 📦 Previous accumulation (noted in consolidation areas before the breakout).
6. 💹 Coincidence with positive news or official announcements (like ETF, halving, etc.).
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🧠 So… what’s happening with the market today?
Right now, the market shows mixed signals:
• There are rises in coins like BTC, ETH, SHIB, but…
• Some show dubious volume, resistances not yet broken, or a quick return to the range.
SHIB, for example, has risen, but it remains trapped between key resistances like $0.00001200. If it doesn’t break strongly and with volume, it could be a trap.
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🔧 What can you do?
1. Don’t buy out of emotion when it has already risen a lot without confirmation.
2. Wait for retests or clear breakouts to enter with more confidence.
3. Always use stop loss when trading a potential breakout.
4. Check if there are news that justify the rise or if it’s just temporary euphoria
