Late-night bomb: Federal Reserve bigwig sings 'Dovish Rate Cut'
Federal Reserve power player Waller just made a tough statement: 'We must discuss a rate cut in July!'
Divine logic goes viral: Tariffs raising prices means nothing (original quote: one-time factors), waiting for the unemployment rate to explode before cutting rates will be too late!
The most outrageous thing is — the market didn't take it seriously: Betting on a July rate cut has only a 14% probability, this expectation gap is enough for the main force to play for half a year!
Qiu highlights: Three major implications.
Preventive rate cut confirmation: Waller admits 'employment has shown cracks' (graduate unemployment rate skyrocketing), clearly indicating a need to act fast to rescue the economy.
The inflation excuse is bankrupt: The claim that 'tariffs cause inflation' has been slapped by its own people, and the door to a September rate cut is wide open.
The Federal Reserve is divided: Waller is a famous hawk, but now he is leading the doves, indicating that the rate cut faction has gained the upper hand!
Crypto market runaway script: Three types of assets lying to win.
Bitcoin 'Early Runner': Before the last rate cut, BTC surged 192%, this time institutions have been secretly accumulating (Coinbase premium has been in the green for three days).
Ethereum 'Steal the Tower Monster': If the BlackRock ETF hits the rate cut, ETH may replicate BTC's spot ETF performance.
Altcoin 'Demon King Group': MEME coins + AI sector attract the most liquidity, be careful of dog traders using this opportunity to pump and dump!
Beware! The main force loves to play 'Expectation Kill'
The market's reaction after Waller's speech is very strange:
US stocks are not moving: The Dow Jones only bounced 0.4%, indicating that large funds do not believe a rate cut can happen in July.
Bitcoin needle: After the news, BTC instantly surged $500 and then crashed back, classic ratio contract technique.
Qiu's advice: Don't rush blindly at the sound of rate cuts! Remember the 2023 routine — 'Wind Release → Dovish → Delay', retail investors chasing high will definitely be trapped.
Retail survival guide: The three-part rate cut series.
Short-term (before July): Accumulate BTC/ETH on dips, focus on US economic data every night at 20:30.
Mid-term (September): After the rate cut is confirmed, sell mainstream and speculate on altcoins, especially focus on the Federal Reserve's favorite — $MSTR (MicroStrategy stock).
Long-term (2025): If a rate cut cycle begins, hold onto Bitcoin! Historical data: In the second year after a rate cut, BTC's average increase exceeds 300%.
Waller, this old fox, suddenly turns dovish; either he is really afraid of an economic collapse, or he is throwing a smoke bomb for the Federal Reserve. But we in the crypto world only care about one thing: rate cut expectations = liquidity = bull market fuel!
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