$BTC **🚀 #Bitcoin2025 – Data-Driven Predictions (No Hype)**

**🔮 3 Likely Scenarios Based on Historical Cycles:**

1️⃣ **Bullish Case (Stock-to-Flow Model + Halving 2024):**

- **Target Price:** $100K-$150K

- **Catalysts:**

✓ Global ETF adoption (Asia/Europe)

✓ Crypto-friendly laws in G20

✓ Scarcity due to halving (90% BTC mined)

2️⃣ **Neutral Case (Repeat of 2017-2019 Cycle):**

- **Range:** $50K-$80K

- **Risks:**

✓ Stifling regulations

✓ CBDC competition

✓ Global recession

3️⃣ **Bearish Case (Black Swan Event):**

- **Drop to $30K:**

✓ Bitcoin network attack (51% attack)

✓ Total ban in USA/EU

✓ Mining energy crisis

**📊 Key Data for 2025:**

- **Circulating Supply:** 19.8M BTC (98% supply mined)

- **Estimated Hashrate:** 600 EH/s (+120% vs 2023)

- **Active Addresses:** 1.2M/day (▲ 40%)

**💡 Consensus Thesis:**

*"2025 will be the year of **institutional maturity** or the **big correction**"*

**📌 Decisive Factors:**

- Bitcoin ETF on Wall Street (real flows)

- Adoption as reserve by countries (e.g. El Salvador 2.0)

- Scalability (Lightning Network + Layer 3?)

**Which scenario do you bet on?** 👇 #CryptoFuture