【$btc】2025.6.20

Since it can't go down, does that mean it has to go up? Yes. As long as it stabilizes at 104500 today, it can rise and oscillate upwards. But the question is, how high can it go? The price has dropped from the position of 109000 and has been oscillating for more than 2 days. It should be time to choose a direction in the next two days. The absolute pressure above is around the 105700 line. However, before this position, there is also a range of pressure at 【105000-105300】. Actually, we are just waiting for a medium bullish candlestick to break through. If there is no breakthrough today, during the liquidity-dry weekend, the longer this drags on, the more unfavorable it is for the bulls. So today is quite crucial. If there is still no movement today, it is estimated that there won't be much activity tomorrow either. By Sunday, it may turn downwards and wash out thoroughly.

If it breaks through 105700 directly upwards, where can we see? To be honest, it's not easy to break through here. If a medium to large bullish candlestick appears, it could pull up to 107000 without much issue. As for higher positions, it cannot be seen for now. In other words, it's not something that can be analyzed today. Alternatively, after hitting resistance at 107000 and then retreating, it might attempt to attack 109800, at most just here.

What if it goes down? Logically speaking, if it doesn’t reach the position today, it won’t go down. The position should at least touch 105000. If it drops directly from here, then I’ll accept it; I’ll be proven wrong, and that’s fine. It’s just from a probabilistic perspective that it seems to be in a rebound, and is still in the rebound phase.

In summary, whether there’s a small surge or a small decline, it will probably be a matter of these two to three days. #波段交易策略 #加密概念美股 #GENIUS稳定币法案